Network analysis using activities of uncertain durations

By: Call Number: AIT Thesis no.1031 Contributor(s): Material type: SeriesSeries: Asian Institute of Technology. Thesis ; no. 1031Publication details: Bangkok : Asian Institute of Technology, 1977Description: 82 pSubject(s): Online resources: Dissertation note: Thesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1977 Summary: This research work presents an integrated procedure for network analysis associated with uncertain activity duration. This procedure utilizes the Monte Carlo simulation and the critical path method, Such integration provides information on the variability of project durations and its distribution for the purpose of quantifying the risk of determining the target date of a project work. Most network simulations make use of activity durations as the random variable of the statistical distribution. This research uses two categories of variables: the rate of work and the variation of the rate of work. The distributions are found from historical data of the irrigation projects. This research is extended to the application of newly-developed concepts of criticality index and of overrunning probability curve.
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20-AIT Publication Asian Institute of Technology Library AIT Publications AIT Thesis no.1031 (Browse shelf(Opens below)) 1 Available 30050003020459
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40-Archives Asian Institute of Technology Library Archives AIT Thesis no.1031 (Browse shelf(Opens below)) Available 30050160088877

A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Engineering at the Asian Institute of Technology, Bangkok, Thailand

Thesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1977

This research work presents an integrated procedure for network analysis associated with uncertain activity duration. This procedure utilizes the Monte Carlo simulation and the critical path method, Such integration provides information on the variability of project durations and its distribution for the purpose of quantifying the risk of determining the target date of a project work. Most network simulations make use of activity durations as the random variable of the statistical distribution. This research uses two categories of variables: the rate of work and the variation of the rate of work. The distributions are found from historical data of the irrigation projects. This research is extended to the application of newly-developed concepts of criticality index and of overrunning probability curve.

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