Sectoral energy demand analysis and industrial energy demand forecasting for the Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam

Nguyen Thanh Binh

Sectoral energy demand analysis and industrial energy demand forecasting for the Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam - Bangkok : Asian Institute of Technology, 1994 - 187 leaves +1 online resource - Thesis ; no. ET-94-28 . - Asian Institute of Technology. Thesis ; no. ET-94-28 .

A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirement for the degree of Master of Engineering

Thesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1994

In this study, the Ho Chi Minh City's energy consumption by economic sectors such as industry, household and commerce, transport and agriculture in the 1982-1992 period is analyzed. The past evolution of energy consumption is studied based on the economic analysis and the techno-economic approach. It is found out that the economic development has had a strong influence on the evolution of the industrial energy consumption, particularly since 1988 when the sweeping reforms of the country were introduced. The MEDEE-S model is used to forecast the industrial energy demand up to the year 2012 based on two typical macro-economic scenarios (high and low cases). The possibility of gas penetration is considered as a fuel substitution for fuelwood during the forecasting periods. A set of demand-side management tools is also proposed based on the results of some preliminary energy audits made in HCMC and the experiences of neighboring countries.


Power resources--Research--Vietnam
Energy consumption--Vietnam--Forecasting
คัดลอกแล้ว!