AI SearchA stochastic network approach for technological forecasting and analysing optimal level of unpackaging for technology transfer (Record no. 112567)
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| 008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION | |
| fixed length control field | 240699s1981 th yzm rtt 00| a1eng d |
| 035 ## - SYSTEM CONTROL NUMBER | |
| System control number | .b1004260x |
| 099 #9 - LOCAL FREE-TEXT CALL NUMBER (OCLC) | |
| Classification number | AIT Diss. no. IE-81-01 |
| 100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | Chin, Wai-hing |
| 245 12 - TITLE STATEMENT | |
| Title | A stochastic network approach for technological forecasting and analysing optimal level of unpackaging for technology transfer |
| 260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. | |
| Place of publication, distribution, etc. | Bangkok : |
| Name of publisher, distributor, etc. | Asian Institute of Technology, |
| Date of publication, distribution, etc. | 1981 |
| 300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION | |
| Extent | 138 p. |
| 490 1# - SERIES STATEMENT | |
| Series statement | Dissertation ; |
| Volume/sequential designation | no. IE-81-01 |
| 502 ## - DISSERTATION NOTE | |
| Dissertation note | Thesis (Ph.D.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1981 |
| 500 ## - GENERAL NOTE | |
| General note | A dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Engineering, School of Engineering and Technology |
| 520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC. | |
| Summary, etc. | A stochastic. network technique has been developed for forecasting regarding large complex technological systems. This technique is based on the principle of combining the component forecasts to give the overall composite forecast. The whole system under forecast is first decomposed in two dimensions: one physically based which is decomposed into different levels of sub-systems and parts, the other activity based which is decomposed into different projects and activities. Forecasts are then prepared for each components for which data or experts' opinions are available and reliable. Then the overall forecast can be obtained by combining the component forecasts into a composite forecast. The developed technique is based on an integrated approach which incorporates both the normative and exploratory approaches to technological forecasting through a stochastic network system. For developing countries, the technology needed may be acquired through local R&D programs, transfer from abroad or a mixture. A model based on stochastic network has been developed for evaluating the proper way to transfer/develop the needed technology. Different alternatives of techno logy transfer, each with different levels of unpackage, can be represented by some variations in the structure and parameters of the stochastic networks. Three major factors, namely, the indigenous involvement, the time to complete the transfer process, and economic benefits, are considered in this model. Evaluations obtained through the synthesis of those networks can provide valuable information for the decision maker. A case study on the electrical vehicle development program in Taiwan has been carried out. Four different alternatives, each with different levels of unpackage to transfer/develop the needed technology, has been studied in the illustration. |
| 650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
| Topical term or geographic name entry element | Technological forecasting |
| General subdivision | Statistical methods |
| 650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
| Topical term or geographic name entry element | Technology transfer |
| 700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | Sharif, M. N., |
| Relator term | Chairperson |
| 700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | Adulbhan, Pakorn, |
| Relator term | Examination Committee |
| 700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | Huynh, Ngoc Phien, |
| Relator term | Examination Committee |
| 700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | Turoff, Murray, |
| Relator term | Examination Committee |
| 710 2# - ADDED ENTRY--CORPORATE NAME | |
| Corporate name or jurisdiction name as entry element | Taiwan Power Company, |
| Relator term | Scholarship Donor |
| 810 2# - SERIES ADDED ENTRY--CORPORATE NAME | |
| Corporate name or jurisdiction name as entry element | Asian Institute of Technology. |
| Title of a work | Dissertation ; |
| Volume/sequential designation | no. IE-81-01 |
| 856 ## - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS | |
| Materials specified | Full-Text |
| Uniform Resource Identifier | <a href="http://203.159.5.9/ait-thesis/detail.php?q=B21422">http://203.159.5.9/ait-thesis/detail.php?q=B21422</a> |
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| Cataloger's initials, CIN (RLIN) | 951012 |
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| Koha item type | 20-AIT Publication |
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| Withdrawn status | Lost status | Damaged status | Not for loan | Home library | Current library | Shelving location | Date acquired | Cost, normal purchase price | Total checkouts | Full call number | Barcode | Date last seen | Copy number | Price effective from | Koha item type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Available for Loans | Asian Institute of Technology Library | Asian Institute of Technology Library | AIT Publications | 18/08/2026 | 10.00 | AIT Diss. no. IE-81-01 | 30050003059028 | 18/08/2026 | 2 | 18/08/2026 | 20-AIT Publication | ||||
| Available for Loans | Asian Institute of Technology Library | Asian Institute of Technology Library | AIT Publications | 18/08/2026 | 10.00 | AIT Diss. no. IE-81-01 | 30050002916467 | 18/08/2026 | 1 | 18/08/2026 | 20-AIT Publication | ||||
| Available for Loans | Asian Institute of Technology Library | Asian Institute of Technology Library | Archives | 18/08/2026 | AIT Diss. no. IE-81-01 | 30050160003025 | 18/08/2026 | 1 | 18/08/2026 | 40-Archives |