Building long-term energy demand and environmental scenarios consistent with national macro-economic scenarios using expert systems : (Record no. 13873)

MARC details
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005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION
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fixed length control field 170699s1998 th uzm rtt 00| a1eng d
035 ## - SYSTEM CONTROL NUMBER
System control number .b11723464
099 #9 - LOCAL FREE-TEXT CALL NUMBER (OCLC)
Classification number AIT Diss. no. ET-98-01
100 0# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Cao Quoc Hung
245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Building long-term energy demand and environmental scenarios consistent with national macro-economic scenarios using expert systems :
Remainder of title methodology and system implementation
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC.
Place of publication, distribution, etc. Bangkok :
Name of publisher, distributor, etc. Asian Institute of Technology,
Date of publication, distribution, etc. 1998
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Extent 2 v.
490 1# - SERIES STATEMENT
Series statement Dissertation ;
Volume/sequential designation no. ET-98-01
500 ## - GENERAL NOTE
General note A dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment requirements for the Degree of Doctor of Engineering, School of Environment, Resources and Development
502 ## - DISSERTATION NOTE
Dissertation note Thesis (Ph.D.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1998
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc. Strong energy-economy interactions in developing countries are often ignored by energy planners in constructing energy demand and environmental scenarios because of the complexity in using energy models to carry out the proper analyses. Consequently, the projected energy demand and environmental scenarios, after passing through lengthy and expensive planning processes, in many cases, result in unreasonable investments which distort the national macro-economic scenarios. To help energy planners in working more efficiently with energy demand and environmental scenario construction, a general methodology is proposed for investigating energy environment-economy interactions in developing countries. This general methodology, which supposed to comprise several sub-modules in a single framework, spells out the general procedures and steps to build energy demand and environmental scenarios in solid consistency with national macro-economic scenarios. Expert systems are proposed to simplify the planners' works in carrying out the analyses. An application of the proposed general methodology for validating energy demand and environmental scenarios (in terms of consistency with national macro-economic scenarios) has also been implemented. This application is a computer package comprising an energy demand module, a macro-economic module and an energy supply module. The environmental impact assessments can be performed in both energy demand and energy supply modules. In this application, a techno-economic energy module is selected for the energy demand module. The macro-economic module is represented by an expert system developed for macro-economic scenario generation using very simple growth approach. The energy supply module is filled up by a non-optimization energy supply planning system. A knowledge-based support system for the energy demand module has also been developed for evaluating the "most difficult" variables. Consistency between energy demand and environmental scenarios and national macro-economic scenarios are obtained through investigation of the relationship between energy investments/ imports, environmental costs and the balance of payment. The impacts on aggregate growth and on sectoral compositions in the macro-economic scenarios are also investigated. A case study of Vietnam shows that the initially projected energy demand and environmental scenarios are subject to significant changes in order to maintain consistency with the national macro-economic development. The results show that the newly developed application operates successfully and can be an effective tool for energy planners in developing countries. Additional test of the macro-economic module indicates that this expert system can be a useful tool for energy planners in developing countries for carrying out macro-economic analysis in the energy planning exercise.
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element Energy policy
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element Expert systems (Computer science)
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Lefevre, Thierry,
Relator term Chairperson
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Gupta, Joyti,
Relator term Examination Committee
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Batanov, Dentcho N.,
Relator term Examination Committee
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Lapillonne, Bruno,
Relator term Examination committee
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Schwab, Laurent,
Relator term Examination committee
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Pacudan, Romeo B.,
Relator term Examination Committee
710 2# - ADDED ENTRY--CORPORATE NAME
Corporate name or jurisdiction name as entry element The Government of France,
Relator term Scholarship donor
810 2# - SERIES ADDED ENTRY--CORPORATE NAME
Corporate name or jurisdiction name as entry element Asian Institute of Technology.
Title of a work Dissertation ;
Volume/sequential designation no. ET-98-01
856 ## - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
Materials specified Full-Text
Uniform Resource Identifier <a href="http://203.159.5.9/ait-thesis/detail.php?q=B12934">http://203.159.5.9/ait-thesis/detail.php?q=B12934</a>
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Koha item type 22-AIT Thesis (Replacement)
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Koha item type 40-Archives
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Holdings
Withdrawn status Lost status Damaged status Not for loan Home library Current library Shelving location Date acquired Total checkouts Full call number Barcode Date last seen Copy number Price effective from Koha item type Public note
      Available for Loans Asian Institute of Technology Library Asian Institute of Technology Library AIT Publications 17/08/2026   AIT Diss. no. ET-98-01 30050120557383 17/08/2026 3 17/08/2026 22-AIT Thesis (Replacement) v. 1
      Available for Loans Asian Institute of Technology Library Asian Institute of Technology Library AIT Publications 17/08/2026   AIT Diss. no. ET-98-01 30050120557367 17/08/2026 3 17/08/2026 22-AIT Thesis (Replacement) v. 2
      Available for Loans Asian Institute of Technology Library Asian Institute of Technology Library Archives 17/08/2026   AIT Diss. no. ET-98-01 30050160037064 17/08/2026 1 17/08/2026 40-Archives  
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