Analyses of risks in independent power production : (Record no. 4431)

MARC details
000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 04260nas|a2200409 i 4500
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION
control field 20260817162239.0
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field 020228s2001 th u m rtt 00| a1eng d
035 ## - SYSTEM CONTROL NUMBER
System control number .b1184792x
099 #9 - LOCAL FREE-TEXT CALL NUMBER (OCLC)
Classification number AIT Thesis no. ET-01-8
100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Prabaaharan, Sinnathamby
245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Analyses of risks in independent power production :
Remainder of title case of a biomass co-generation project in Thailand
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC.
Place of publication, distribution, etc. Bangkok :
Name of publisher, distributor, etc. Asian Institute of Technology,
Date of publication, distribution, etc. 2001
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Extent 92 leaves
490 1# - SERIES STATEMENT
Series statement Thesis ;
Volume/sequential designation no. ET-01-8
500 ## - GENERAL NOTE
General note A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Engineering, School of Environment, Resources and Development
502 ## - DISSERTATION NOTE
Dissertation note Thesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 2001
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc. This study analyzes the risks associated in investment on iice husk fuelled cogeneration project and power purchase contract between utility and independent power producer. In this study, option valuation approach has been used to analyze the risk in investing on a rice husk fuelled co-generation plant in the presence of alternative technologies. Different cases have been considered when the important cost parameters of the cogeneration plant were changed, and the risk associated with them estimated quantitatively. Also, the optimal timing and option prices of the foregone options have been estimated. The study has revealed that when the annul price escalation rate of rice husk is 4%, cost of capital is 1200 $/kW, if the va1iable operating and maintenance cost exceeds 3.0 mills/kWh, then the cogeneration plant will not be selected in least cost generation expansion scenario. The study has suggested if there is no revenue from rice husk ash, then it will be very high risk to invest on this type of technology now and even when the price of ash is 50 $/ton for above case, the investment has to be delayed for 4.5 years. Sensitivity analysis has revealed that if the revenue from ash reaches 225 $/ton, then the investment will be completely risked free. This study has analyzed the risk sharing between utility and independent power producer in the context of incentive contract. The coefficient of variability of the probability distribution of expected net profit of Independent Power Producer was used as a quantitative measure of risk. For each sharing rate, corresponding coefficient of variability was found using Monte-Carlo simulation. And fuel price, fuel escalation rate, plant heat rate, variable O&M cost, capacity factor, availability factor were considered as uncertain parameters. The sensitivity analysis of uncertain parameters shows that the availability factor affects the probability distributions of the expected net profit highly. The capacity factor is the second larger sensitive parameter on the net profit. The revenue from rice husk ash sale creates considerable uncertainty on expected net profit. If there is no revenue from ash, then it is highly risky to make a contract. When the sharing rate equals to 0.5, the contract will be almost risk free. The increment in discount, tax rates and decrement in return on equity increase the uncertainty about the net profit of IPP. i
650 10 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element Biomass energy
General subdivision Thailand
650 10 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element Risk management
General subdivision Thailand
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Shrestha, Ram M.,
Relator term Chairperson
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Pacudan, Romeo B.,
Relator term Examination Committee
700 0# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Surapong Chiraratananon,
Relator term Examination Committee
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Lacrosse, Ludovic,
Relator term Examination committee
710 2# - ADDED ENTRY--CORPORATE NAME
Corporate name or jurisdiction name as entry element The Govenunent of France - AIT,
Relator term Scholarship donor
810 2# - SERIES ADDED ENTRY--CORPORATE NAME
Corporate name or jurisdiction name as entry element Asian Institute of Technology.
Title of a work Thesis ;
Volume/sequential designation no. ET-01-8
856 ## - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
Materials specified Full-Text
Uniform Resource Identifier <a href="http://203.159.5.9/ait-thesis/detail.php?q=B08026">http://203.159.5.9/ait-thesis/detail.php?q=B08026</a>
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998 ## - LOCAL CONTROL INFORMATION (RLIN)
Operator's initials, OID (RLIN) 0
Cataloger's initials, CIN (RLIN) 020228
First date, FD (RLIN) m
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945 ## - LOCAL PROCESSING INFORMATION (OCLC)
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945 ## - LOCAL PROCESSING INFORMATION (OCLC)
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942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Koha item type 22-AIT Thesis (Replacement)
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Koha item type 40-Archives
909 ## - LOCAL ITEMS USED
Barcode Barcode : 30050120749030
CREATED CREATED : 2013-11-20
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Barcode Barcode : 30050120347538
CREATED CREATED : 2016-06-15
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Holdings
Withdrawn status Lost status Damaged status Not for loan Home library Current library Shelving location Date acquired Cost, normal purchase price Total checkouts Full call number Barcode Date last seen Copy number Price effective from Koha item type
      Available for Loans Asian Institute of Technology Library Asian Institute of Technology Library AIT Publications 17/08/2026 50.00   AIT Thesis no. ET-01-8 30050120749030 17/08/2026 3 17/08/2026 22-AIT Thesis (Replacement)
      Available for Loans Asian Institute of Technology Library Asian Institute of Technology Library Archives 17/08/2026     AIT Thesis no. ET-01-8 30050120347538 17/08/2026   17/08/2026 40-Archives
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