Analysis and forecasting of snow cover using ANN in Kaligandaki Basin, Nepal (Record no. 4507)

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System control number .b12112501
099 #9 - LOCAL FREE-TEXT CALL NUMBER (OCLC)
Classification number AIT Thesis no.RS-11-04
100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Mishra, Bhogendra
245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Analysis and forecasting of snow cover using ANN in Kaligandaki Basin, Nepal
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC.
Place of publication, distribution, etc. Pathum Thani, Thailand :
Name of publisher, distributor, etc. Asian Institute of Technology,
Date of publication, distribution, etc. 2011
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Extent 75 leaves :
Other physical details ill.
490 1# - SERIES STATEMENT
Series statement Thesis ;
Volume/sequential designation no. RS-11-04
500 ## - GENERAL NOTE
General note A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements fo r the degree of Master of Science in Remote Sensing and Geographic lnfonnation Systems, School of Engineering and Technology
502 ## - DISSERTATION NOTE
Dissertation note Thesis (M. Sci.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 2011
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc. As Himalayas has been considered as one of the most vulnerable region in the world from the climate change point of view, it is very important to study about the trends of climate variability and snow cover area in higher mountainous regions. On the other hand, timely and accurate data are always a big problem in this kind of study. Hence, this study aims primarily to access the usability of various remote sensing data, and identifying the bias and calibration based on the observed dataset. Secondarily, trend analysis using nonparametric techniques was carried out. Finally, snow cover area has been forecasted using an artificial neural network based on HadCM A2 scenario. It is shown that remote sensing technology can detect the spatial-temporal pattern of temperature and snow cover in an inaccessible terrain of Himalayas but the precipitation data obtained from remote sensing do not seem reliable. Similarly, the MODIS products have already been ensuring in different region of the world in different ways, but the accuracy of MODIS snow products have still not ensured in the Himalayas. Therefore, MODlOAl snow product was also related with ASTER snow cover area in this study by assuming that the ASTER has 1003 accuracy. And it was found that MODlOAl has approximately 813 accuracy with respect to ASTER snow cover. Nonparametric-methods (ie. Mann-Kendall and Sens) were used to identify the trend. Increasing trends of temperature, approximately 0.03°Cyr-1 was obtained from the test whereas the mixed seasonal trend of precipitation was obtained. In general, we can conclude that, there is the increasing trend in summer and spring and decreasing trend in winter. Therefore, the flash floods and winter droughts are also increasing in the region. While talking about snow cover area, a significant negative winter and spring snow cover trend was identified. Consequently the glacier retreatment was also noticed significantly. From the analysis, it is concluded that there is clear indications that the regional warming is affecting the precipitation and snow cover area in the Himalayas. Similarly in another study, Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models were developed to predict monthly snow cover area in higher Himalayas based on the selected GCM as input. Two types of models were used to forecast, one was time series and another war normal. The accuracy of both models obviously depends on the accuracy of input climatic variables. But, the accuracy gradually goes down on increasing the lead time in NARX time series network. Whereas the accuracy remains same for GRNN till the indefinite time, but it solely depends with the accuracy of input variables. While comparing the performance of two networks NARX gives the better result for the short lead time where as GRNN, the second network, seems better for the longer lead time.
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element Snow
General subdivision Forecasting
Geographic subdivision Nepal
-- Kaligandaki Basin
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Tripathi, Nitin Kumar,
Relator term Chairperson
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Babel, Mukand Singh,
Relator term Examination Committee
700 0# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Taravudh Tipdecho,
Relator term Examination committee
710 2# - ADDED ENTRY--CORPORATE NAME
Corporate name or jurisdiction name as entry element Government of Japan,
Relator term Scholarship donor
810 2# - SERIES ADDED ENTRY--CORPORATE NAME
Corporate name or jurisdiction name as entry element Asian Institute of Technology.
Title of a work Thesis ;
Volume/sequential designation no. RS-11-04
856 ## - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
Materials specified Full-Text
Uniform Resource Identifier <a href="http://203.159.5.9/ait-thesis/detail.php?q=B11312">http://203.159.5.9/ait-thesis/detail.php?q=B11312</a>
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Koha item type 20-AIT Publication
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Holdings
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      Available for Loans Asian Institute of Technology Library Asian Institute of Technology Library AIT Publications 17/08/2026 50.00   AIT Thesis no.RS-11-04 30050120590020 17/08/2026 1 17/08/2026 20-AIT Publication
      Available for Loans Asian Institute of Technology Library Asian Institute of Technology Library AIT Publications 17/08/2026 50.00   AIT Thesis no.RS-11-04 30050120589899 17/08/2026 2 17/08/2026 20-AIT Publication
      Available for Loans Asian Institute of Technology Library Asian Institute of Technology Library Archives 17/08/2026     AIT Thesis no.RS-11-04 30050160016787 17/08/2026   17/08/2026 40-Archives
      Available for Loans Asian Institute of Technology Library Asian Institute of Technology Library Archives 17/08/2026     AIT Thesis no.RS-11-04 30050120993265 17/08/2026 3 17/08/2026 20-AIT Publication
      Available for Loans Asian Institute of Technology Library Asian Institute of Technology Library Archives 17/08/2026 50.00   AIT Thesis no.RS-11-04 30050211017073 17/08/2026 4 17/08/2026 20-AIT Publication
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