Analyzing the electric vehicle acceptance, transition scenarios and its impact on electricity demandand GHG emissions in Pakistan (Record no. 5431)

MARC details
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005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION
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035 ## - SYSTEM CONTROL NUMBER
System control number .b12395158
099 #9 - LOCAL FREE-TEXT CALL NUMBER (OCLC)
Classification number AIT Thesis no.SE-22-05
100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Butt, Muhammad Huzaifa
245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Analyzing the electric vehicle acceptance, transition scenarios and its impact on electricity demandand GHG emissions in Pakistan
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC.
Place of publication, distribution, etc. Pathum Thani, Thailand :
Name of publisher, distributor, etc. Asian Institute of Technology,
Date of publication, distribution, etc. 2022
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Extent 179 leaves :
Other physical details ill.
490 1# - SERIES STATEMENT
Series statement Thesis ;
Volume/sequential designation no. SE-22-05
500 ## - GENERAL NOTE
General note A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Engineering Sustainable Energy Transition
502 ## - DISSERTATION NOTE
Dissertation note Thesis (M. Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 2022
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc. This work aims to investigate the factors accelerating electric vehicle (EV) acceptance at the consumer end in Pakistan, its impact on annual energy demand and its role in reducing CO2 emissions from the transport sector. The first part of the study uses the quantitative analysis method with the survey as an instrument for data collection. The model under investigation was adapted from the famous Technology Acceptance Models (TAMs) and modified with other significant predictors evidenced in the literature. Correlation and stepwise regressing were performed with a multicollinearity check for model hypothesis testing. Out of six predictors, only four factors were significant in accelerating the EV transition and the proposed model explains 56.3% of the variance in intention to buy EV. Financial policies were highly significant as one standard deviation unit increase in financial policy can increase public intention to buy EV by 0.476 standard deviation units. The second significant factor affecting the choice to buy is an environmental concern, followed by the facilitating conditions and perceived ease of use. The second part of the study used three exponential smoothing models for forecasting two, three and four-wheeler demand and building scenarios for EV penetration. Later, a mathematical model calculates annual energy demand and CO2 emissions based on the type of vehicle and fuel consumed. The results highlight that the Pakistan transport demand will reach 54 million by 2040 from 27 million units in 2020. Throughout the timeline, the two-wheeler share is more dominant than 80%. In the current policy scenario, deep decarbonization of the transport sector is not possible; only 40% of EV two-wheeler and 25% of EV four-wheelers will be there by 2040; the rest will be traditional vehicles. In the current policy scenario (NEVP), electricity energy demand will be 20,450 GWh and fossil fuel demand will be limited to 12.2 MT compared to 19 MT without EV case by 2040. The CO2 emissions will be limited to 48 MT in NEVP instead of 61.6 MT without an EV case. However, due to electricity's high emissions factor, the EV transition will result in 8.3 MT of CO2 emissions in 2040. Therefore, a clean energy mix is essential for maximizing the benefits of EV transition.
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element Electric vehicles
General subdivision Environmental aspects
Geographic subdivision Pakistan
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element Greenhouse gas mitigation
General subdivision Environmental aspects
Geographic subdivision Pakistan
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Singh, Jai Govind,
Relator term Chairperson
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Roy, Joyashree,
Relator term Examination committee
700 0# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Weerakorn Ongsakul,
Relator term Examination Committee
710 2# - ADDED ENTRY--CORPORATE NAME
Corporate name or jurisdiction name as entry element Asian Development Bank-Japan Scholarship Program (ADB-JSP),
Relator term Scholarship Donor
810 2# - SERIES ADDED ENTRY--CORPORATE NAME
Corporate name or jurisdiction name as entry element Asian Institute of Technology.
Title of a work Thesis ;
Volume/sequential designation no. SE-22-05
856 40 - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
Materials specified Full-Text
Uniform Resource Identifier <a href="http://203.159.5.9/ait-thesis/Viewer/viewer.php?id=B17978">http://203.159.5.9/ait-thesis/Viewer/viewer.php?id=B17978</a>
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Cataloger's initials, CIN (RLIN) 221212
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Koha item type 40-Archives
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Koha item type 67-Electronic Resource
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Koha item type 20-AIT Publication
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CREATED CREATED : 2022-01-12
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CREATED CREATED : 2024-11-03
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      Available for Loans Asian Institute of Technology Library Asian Institute of Technology Library Archives 17/08/2026   AIT Thesis no.SE-22-05 30020220005097 17/08/2026 1 17/08/2026 40-Archives  
      Available for Loans Asian Institute of Technology Library Asian Institute of Technology Library Archives 17/08/2026   AIT Thesis no.SE-22-05   17/08/2026   17/08/2026 67-Electronic Resource  
      Available for Loans Asian Institute of Technology Library Asian Institute of Technology Library AIT Publications 17/08/2026   AIT Thesis no.SE-22-05 30050121065683 17/08/2026 1 17/08/2026 20-AIT Publication 50.00
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