AI SearchApplication des modeles de series chronologiques dans la prevision des ventes : (Record no. 6418)
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| 005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION | |
| control field | 20260817162822.0 |
| 008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION | |
| fixed length control field | 011098s1998 th r 0000|0 eng d |
| 035 ## - SYSTEM CONTROL NUMBER | |
| System control number | .b11724523 |
| 041 ## - LANGUAGE CODE | |
| Language code of text/sound track or separate title | engfre |
| 099 #9 - LOCAL FREE-TEXT CALL NUMBER (OCLC) | |
| Classification number | AIT RSPR no. SM-98-13 |
| 100 0# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | Thanh Obmalay |
| 245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT | |
| Title | Application des modeles de series chronologiques dans la prevision des ventes : |
| Remainder of title | le cas de la Compagnie Lao Brewery Co., Ltd. |
| 260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. | |
| Place of publication, distribution, etc. | Bangkok : |
| Name of publisher, distributor, etc. | Asian Institute of Technology, |
| Date of publication, distribution, etc. | 1998 |
| 300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION | |
| Extent | 60 leaves |
| 490 1# - SERIES STATEMENT | |
| Series statement | Research studies project report ; |
| Volume/sequential designation | no. SM-98-13 |
| 502 ## - DISSERTATION NOTE | |
| Dissertation note | Research Studies Project Report (M.B.A.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1998 |
| 500 ## - GENERAL NOTE | |
| General note | With English abstract |
| 500 ## - GENERAL NOTE | |
| General note | Memoire de recherche soum1s pour l'obtention du diplOme de Master of Business Administration, School of Management |
| 520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC. | |
| Summary, etc. | The forecasts are projections that are based on the flow pattern of past figures. These are highly important tools for management and line personnel in their daily course of activities and decision making. The purpose of this research is to show managers in Lao companies some of the methods which may help them to improve their forecasts. This research follows three main principles: first, that the level of mathematics and statistics has been kept to that considered as appropriate to people whose interest is in obtaining forecasts for practical purpose. Secondly, that the emphasis is on the simpler and more widely used procedures, with some modifications provided that the level of precision must be satisfactory, using sales data of LAO BREWERY CO., LTD as the case study. The third principle is the critical approach that is essential in selecting the most suitable method from the many which are available. The test of data shows that the past sales figures of LAO BREWERY CO., LTD behave randomly with an upward trend, and have no seasonality. The direct use of Moving Average, Exponential Smoothing, and Linear Regression is inefficient because they cannot keep track of the presence of randomness. The corrected methods suggested in this research seem to give good results. Holt-Winters, Decomposition, and Box-Jenkins methods are not recommended due to their complexities and seem not accessible to Lao managers' skills. The research has dealt with short-term forecasts and time senes, while the long-term forecasts and causal methods have not been taken into account. |
| 650 10 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM | |
| Topical term or geographic name entry element | Sales forecasting |
| Geographic subdivision | Laos |
| 700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | Gupta, Joyti, |
| Relator term | Chairperson |
| 700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | Speece, Mark W., |
| Relator term | Examination Committee |
| 700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | Lefevre, Thierry, |
| Relator term | Examination Committee |
| 710 2# - ADDED ENTRY--CORPORATE NAME | |
| Corporate name or jurisdiction name as entry element | Government France, |
| Relator term | Scholarship donor |
| 810 2# - SERIES ADDED ENTRY--CORPORATE NAME | |
| Corporate name or jurisdiction name as entry element | Asian Institute of Technology. |
| Title of a work | Research studies project report ; |
| Volume/sequential designation | no. SM-98-13 |
| 856 ## - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS | |
| Materials specified | Full-Text |
| Uniform Resource Identifier | <a href="http://203.159.5.9/ait-thesis/detail.php?q=B12987">http://203.159.5.9/ait-thesis/detail.php?q=B12987</a> |
| 907 ## - LOCAL DATA ELEMENT G, LDG (RLIN) | |
| a | .b11724523 |
| b | mnait |
| c | y |
| 902 ## - LOCAL DATA ELEMENT B, LDB (RLIN) | |
| a | 240407 |
| 998 ## - LOCAL CONTROL INFORMATION (RLIN) | |
| Operator's initials, OID (RLIN) | 0 |
| Cataloger's initials, CIN (RLIN) | 980914 |
| First date, FD (RLIN) | m |
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| 945 ## - LOCAL PROCESSING INFORMATION (OCLC) | |
| l | mnait |
| 945 ## - LOCAL PROCESSING INFORMATION (OCLC) | |
| l | mnait |
| 945 ## - LOCAL PROCESSING INFORMATION (OCLC) | |
| l | mnarc |
| 945 ## - LOCAL PROCESSING INFORMATION (OCLC) | |
| l | mnarc |
| 942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA) | |
| Koha item type | 20-AIT Publication |
| 942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA) | |
| Koha item type | 40-Archives |
| 909 ## - LOCAL ITEMS USED | |
| Barcode | Barcode : 30050120618904 |
| CREATED | CREATED : 1998-09-14 |
| RECORD Id | RECORD # : i1209416x |
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| Barcode | Barcode : 30050120618896 |
| CREATED | CREATED : 1998-09-14 |
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| Barcode | Barcode : 30050160102843 |
| CREATED | CREATED : 2016-04-28 |
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| Withdrawn status | Lost status | Damaged status | Not for loan | Home library | Current library | Shelving location | Date acquired | Total checkouts | Full call number | Barcode | Date last seen | Copy number | Price effective from | Koha item type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Available for Loans | Asian Institute of Technology Library | Asian Institute of Technology Library | AIT Publications | 17/08/2026 | AIT RSPR no. SM-98-13 | 30050120618904 | 17/08/2026 | 1 | 17/08/2026 | 20-AIT Publication | ||||
| Available for Loans | Asian Institute of Technology Library | Asian Institute of Technology Library | AIT Publications | 17/08/2026 | AIT RSPR no. SM-98-13 | 30050120618896 | 17/08/2026 | 2 | 17/08/2026 | 20-AIT Publication | ||||
| Available for Loans | Asian Institute of Technology Library | Asian Institute of Technology Library | Archives | 17/08/2026 | AIT RSPR no. SM-98-13 | 30050160102843 | 17/08/2026 | 17/08/2026 | 40-Archives | |||||
| Available for Loans | Asian Institute of Technology Library | Asian Institute of Technology Library | Archives | 17/08/2026 | AIT RSPR no. SM-98-13 | 30050120987192 | 17/08/2026 | 3 | 17/08/2026 | 20-AIT Publication |