Application of neural network model for daily flood forecasting of inflow and release of Sirikit reservoir and downstream flood discharges (Record no. 6731)

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000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 05183nas|a2200433 i 4500
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION
control field 20260817162925.0
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field 030912s2003 th uzm rtt 00| a1eng d
035 ## - SYSTEM CONTROL NUMBER
System control number .b11898641
099 #9 - LOCAL FREE-TEXT CALL NUMBER (OCLC)
Classification number AIT Thesis no. WM-02-12
100 0# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Bordin Khanthaprathep
245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Application of neural network model for daily flood forecasting of inflow and release of Sirikit reservoir and downstream flood discharges
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC.
Place of publication, distribution, etc. Bangkok :
Name of publisher, distributor, etc. Asian Institute of Technology,
Date of publication, distribution, etc. 2003
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Extent 70, 45, 3, 2 leaves
490 1# - SERIES STATEMENT
Series statement Thesis ;
Volume/sequential designation no. WM-02-12
500 ## - GENERAL NOTE
General note A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of the Master of Engineering
502 ## - DISSERTATION NOTE
Dissertation note Thesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 2003
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc. At present, real time operation of Sirikit reservoir in Nan River during flood periods frequently causes severe flooding in downstream areas especially in the vicinity of Uttaradit and Pitsanulok provinces. The excessive release of Sirikit reservoir is due to lacking of information of local inflows from downstream tributaries of Nan river. To forecast flood for real time daily operation and release of the Sirikit reservoir, a flood forecasting model is employed for forecasting daily inflow and release of Sirikit reservoir and daily flood inflows along Nan river downstream of the reservoir. Previous inflow and release of the Sirikit reservoir and flood discharges during large flood years are used in training and testing the model. In this study using Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs, WinNN0.97) is used for forecasting one, three and five days ahead daily inflow of Sirikit reservoir and daily flood discharges along Nan river downstream of Sirikit reservoir at stations N12A(Tha Pla), N27 A (Naresuan dam) and N5A(Phitsanulok). In this study use Back Propagation algorithm and sigmoid transfer function for ANN model. Main streamflow gaging stations and rainfall stations and their observed data were chosen as input data into model. The correlation coefficients between main rainfall stations and streamflow gaging station were determined. The input rainfall and streamflow data for ANN (WinNN0.97) were selected based on highest values of auto and cross-correlation coefficients for training. The parameters of model obtained from training are used in model testing. The accuracy of model is measured by percent of good patterns, the minimum values of Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Efficiency Index (EI) and also comparison of hydrograph between observed and simulated discharge by ANN model. The models with best performance is selected for sensitivity analysis of model parameters. Each of model is trained and tested for 1 day, 3 days and 5 days ahead flood forecast. The one-day ahead flood forecast has 5 data sets such 1-1, 1-2, 1-3, 1-4 and 1-5. The Three days ahead flood forecast has 3 data sets such 3-1, 3-2 and 3-3. The five days ahead flood forecast have 3 data sets· such 5-1, 5-2 and ·5-3. In this study, there is only one hidden layer and numbers of node in the hidden layer are varied from 1 to 1+2 (I = Number of Input Data). The total cases of one day, three and five days ahead flood forecast in this study are 247 cases. The models with best performance are selected for real time flood forecast. The results show that one day ahead flood forecast are of the best accuracy. The performance of three days ahead flood forecast is better than five days ahead flood forecast. When used ANN model (WinNN0.97) in the real time flood forecasting, the results still good and can be improved by applying a correction factor. Time Delayed Neural Network (TDNN) is used to explore the possibility in flood forecasting at all above-mentioned stations. The accuracy of TDNN models are better than ANN models for the best performance of 1, 3 and 5 days ahead flood forecast.
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element Neural networks (Computer science)
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element Flood forecasting
Geographic subdivision Thailand
700 0# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Tawatchai Tingsanchali,
Relator term Chairperson
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Luketina, D.A.,
Relator term Examination Committee
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Clemente, Roberto S.,
Relator term Examination Committee
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Babel, Mukand Singh,
Relator term Examination Committee
710 2# - ADDED ENTRY--CORPORATE NAME
Corporate name or jurisdiction name as entry element ASEAN Foundation Scholarship,
Relator term Scholarship donor
810 2# - SERIES ADDED ENTRY--CORPORATE NAME
Corporate name or jurisdiction name as entry element Asian Institute of Technology.
Title of a work Thesis ;
Volume/sequential designation no. WM-02-12
856 ## - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
Materials specified Full-Text
Uniform Resource Identifier <a href=" http://203.159.5.9/ait-thesis/detail.php?q=B08511"> http://203.159.5.9/ait-thesis/detail.php?q=B08511</a>
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Operator's initials, OID (RLIN) 0
Cataloger's initials, CIN (RLIN) 030912
First date, FD (RLIN) m
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942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Koha item type 20-AIT Publication
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Koha item type 40-Archives
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Barcode Barcode : 30050120550958
CREATED CREATED : 2002-04-15
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      Available for Loans Asian Institute of Technology Library Asian Institute of Technology Library AIT Publications 17/08/2026 50.00   AIT Thesis no. WM-02-12 30050120550958 17/08/2026 1 17/08/2026 20-AIT Publication
      Available for Loans Asian Institute of Technology Library Asian Institute of Technology Library AIT Publications 17/08/2026 50.00   AIT Thesis no. WM-02-12 30050120550933 17/08/2026 2 17/08/2026 20-AIT Publication
      Available for Loans Asian Institute of Technology Library Asian Institute of Technology Library Archives 17/08/2026     AIT Thesis no. WM-02-12 30050120236020 17/08/2026   17/08/2026 40-Archives
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