Assessment of climate change impacts on river hydrology and morphology and resulting socio-economic vulnerability : (Record no. 9016)

MARC details
000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 05984nas a2200481 a 4500
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION
control field 20260817163526.0
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field 200819s2018 th uu m rtt 0| a1eng d
035 ## - SYSTEM CONTROL NUMBER
System control number .b12320602
099 #9 - LOCAL FREE-TEXT CALL NUMBER (OCLC)
Classification number AIT Thesis no.WM-18-01
100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Imbulana, Kuruwita A.N.D.
245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Assessment of climate change impacts on river hydrology and morphology and resulting socio-economic vulnerability :
Remainder of title a case study of the Chindwin river basin in Myanmar
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC.
Place of publication, distribution, etc. Pathum Thani, Thailand :
Name of publisher, distributor, etc. Asian Institute of Technology,
Date of publication, distribution, etc. 2018
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Extent 1 online resource, 139 leaves :
Other physical details ill.
490 1# - SERIES STATEMENT
Series statement Thesis ;
Volume/sequential designation no. WM-18-01
502 ## - DISSERTATION NOTE
Dissertation note Thesis (M. Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 2018
500 ## - GENERAL NOTE
General note A thesissubmitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master ofEngineering in Water Engineering and Management
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc. This study assessedthe near future climate change, its impact on basin hydrology and river morphological changes, and the resulting socio-economic vulnerability of the riverine communitiesin the Chindwin River Basin, Myanmar. The study projected the future climate using data from four Regional Climate Models(RCMs) under two Representative Concentration Pathways(RCPs)and developed an ensemble of the climate models using a performance-based weight assigning method. A hydrological model using MIKE NAM and a morphologymodel using MIKE 21 Flow Model FM were developed for the impact assessment. The vulnerability assessment was anindicator-basedassessment, which utilized 24 indicators under the domains of exposure, economic sensitivity, physical sensitivity, social adaptive capacity and demographic adaptive capacity.The multi-modal ensemble of climate models outperformed single RCMs in predicting future climate. Average near future rainfall is projected to increase during the wet season across the basin under both RCPs while no such clear pattern was observed for the dry season. However, the future maximum and minimum temperature is projected to increase compared to mean baseline value in more than 75% of the near future years under both RCPs. The mean annual discharge is projected to increase by 13.9% and 22.8% respectively under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 in near future. The annual hydrograph showed faster rising and recession of monsoon flood with multiple peaks replacing the single peak observed during the baseline, and a foreword shift of the floodby 8-10 days.Furthermore, the mean and maximum discharge is projected to increaseduringthe Hot and Dry Season and Wet season inthe nearfuture. Most importantly in a morphodynamic point of view, the extreme flood events are expected to get more severe in future interms of frequency and magnitude. The calibrated morphology model which was used to simulate four extremeeventspredictinghighsedimentdeposition atnarrow locationsand downstream of them,as the flood recedes.Thismay cause channel migration andbraiding due to completeriver closure at such sections. These effects were prominent during high flood events. The left bank of the upstream areas is projected to experience most severe morphology changes. As highflows will be amplified due to climate change in near future, morphologychanges will beexacerbated in the same period.Sediment deposition will increase the flood risk and river bank instability, constrainingnavigability in the riverand adversely affectingriverine communities.The results revealed that the river morphology changes are mainly due to high flowevent suggesting that simulation of such eventsis adequate enough to study morphodynamic changes allowing to avoid many issuesassociated with long duration 2D hydrodynamic simulations.Thesocio-economic vulnerability assessment conducted under this study identified the riverine community of Yesagyo andChaung U respectively as the most and leastvulnerable out of three townships assessed. This was attributed to high sensitivity and exposure to morphology related changesin Yesagyo, despite its high adaptive capacity. The results could guide decision makers to prioritize areas where immediate mitigative and adaptive measures need to be taken to sustainable face climate change driven hydrology and morphology challenges in neat future.
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element Climatic changes
Geographic subdivision Myanmar
-- Chindwin River Basin
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element Hydrology
Geographic subdivision Myanmar
-- Chindwin River Basin
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Shrestha, Sangam,
Relator term Chairperson
700 0# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Duc Hoang Nguyen,
Relator term Examination committee
700 0# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Sarawut Ninsawat,
Relator term Examination committee
700 0# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Somchai Chonwattana,
Relator term Examination committee
700 0# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Thanapon Piman,
Relator term Examination committee
710 2# - ADDED ENTRY--CORPORATE NAME
Corporate name or jurisdiction name as entry element Thailand (HM King),
Relator term Scholarship donor
810 2# - SERIES ADDED ENTRY--CORPORATE NAME
Corporate name or jurisdiction name as entry element Asian Institute of Technology.
Title of a work Thesis ;
Volume/sequential designation no. WM-18-01
856 ## - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
Materials specified Full-Text
Uniform Resource Identifier <a href="http://203.159.5.9/ait-thesis/detail.php?q=B04461 ">http://203.159.5.9/ait-thesis/detail.php?q=B04461 </a>
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a 240422
998 ## - LOCAL CONTROL INFORMATION (RLIN)
Operator's initials, OID (RLIN) 0
Cataloger's initials, CIN (RLIN) 200819
First date, FD (RLIN) m
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945 ## - LOCAL PROCESSING INFORMATION (OCLC)
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Koha item type 40-Archives
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Koha item type 61-CD-ROM
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Koha item type 20-AIT Publication
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CREATED CREATED : 2019-11-07
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      Available for Loans Asian Institute of Technology Library Asian Institute of Technology Library Archives 17/08/2026   AIT Thesis no.WM-18-01 30050120875470 17/08/2026 17/08/2026 40-Archives    
      Available for Loans Asian Institute of Technology Library Asian Institute of Technology Library Archives 17/08/2026   AIT Thesis no.WM-18-01   17/08/2026 17/08/2026 61-CD-ROM    
      Available for Loans Asian Institute of Technology Library Asian Institute of Technology Library AIT Publications 17/08/2026   AIT Thesis no.WM-18-01 30050120981195 17/08/2026 17/08/2026 20-AIT Publication 50.00 1
      Available for Loans Asian Institute of Technology Library Asian Institute of Technology Library AIT Publications 17/08/2026   AIT Thesis no.WM-18-01 30050120981187 17/08/2026 17/08/2026 20-AIT Publication 50.00 2
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