Assessment of risk in a power purchase contract between independent power producers and electric utility : (Record no. 9318)

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005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION
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008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field 220200s1999 th uu m rtt 00| a1eng d
035 ## - SYSTEM CONTROL NUMBER
System control number .b11777394
099 #9 - LOCAL FREE-TEXT CALL NUMBER (OCLC)
Classification number AIT Thesis no.ET-99-10
100 0# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Dinh Tuan Minh
245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Assessment of risk in a power purchase contract between independent power producers and electric utility :
Remainder of title the case of Vietnam
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC.
Place of publication, distribution, etc. Bangkok :
Name of publisher, distributor, etc. Asian Institute of Technology,
Date of publication, distribution, etc. 1999
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Extent 85 leaves
490 1# - SERIES STATEMENT
Series statement Thesis ;
Volume/sequential designation no. ET-99-10
500 ## - GENERAL NOTE
General note A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Engineering, School of Environment, Resources and Development
502 ## - DISSERTATION NOTE
Dissertation note Thesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1999
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc. Independent Power Producers (IPPs) are considered as a major source to meet large financing gap for generation capacity expansion in Vietnam. However, only very few of BOT projects in power sector have been constructed, mainly due to the prolonged negotiation on power purchase contract between EVN and the IPP. Incentive forms are expected to allow both parties sharing risks and encourage them to control risks more efficiently. Reducing actual payment from EVN and remaining target profit level are expected after that. Risk simulation by Monte Carlo approach is used for risk analysis for both parties involving incentive contract at different risk sharing indexes (p). Based on risk statistics, especially coefficient of variability, two parties arrive at p that best fit them. Then, they can start an official negotiation to finalize the selection of p. Sensitivity analysis is used to assess payment provision for a billing period. The study confirms that type of probability distribution of risk variables is not so much important. Availability factor has the strongest contribution to the variation of NPV(41%). Next are heat rate (21%), variable O&M cost (18%), capacity factor (14%) and coal price (5%). It is found that, p suitable for the IPP to keep his risk at the level in the US electric industry is ranged from 0.45 to 0.7. Selection of contractual p depends on risk attitude, controllability of risk variables and budget of each party. Different levels of p should be applied for different risk variables. The results in the case using incentive contract with p as 0.6 for assessing payment provision in year six show that incentive contract is an effective tool for two parties to hedge and control risk better.
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element Electric utilities
Geographic subdivision Vietnam
650 #0 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element Risk assessment
Geographic subdivision Vietnam
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Lefevre, Thierry,
Relator term Chairperson
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Shrestha, Ram M.,
Relator term Examination Committee
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Pacudan, Romeo B.,
Relator term Examination Committee
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Do, Ba Khang,
Relator term Examination Committee
710 2# - ADDED ENTRY--CORPORATE NAME
Corporate name or jurisdiction name as entry element The French Government,
Relator term Scholarship donor
810 2# - SERIES ADDED ENTRY--CORPORATE NAME
Corporate name or jurisdiction name as entry element Asian Institute of Technology.
Title of a work Thesis ;
Volume/sequential designation no. ET-99-10
856 ## - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
Materials specified Full-Text
Uniform Resource Identifier <a href="http://203.159.5.9/ait-thesis/detail.php?q=B12718">http://203.159.5.9/ait-thesis/detail.php?q=B12718</a>
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998 ## - LOCAL CONTROL INFORMATION (RLIN)
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Cataloger's initials, CIN (RLIN) 000222
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945 ## - LOCAL PROCESSING INFORMATION (OCLC)
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945 ## - LOCAL PROCESSING INFORMATION (OCLC)
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942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Koha item type 22-AIT Thesis (Replacement)
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Koha item type 40-Archives
909 ## - LOCAL ITEMS USED
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CREATED CREATED : 2014-03-03
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Barcode Barcode : 30050120365571
CREATED CREATED : 2016-06-15
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      Available for Loans Asian Institute of Technology Library Asian Institute of Technology Library AIT Publications 17/08/2026 50.00   AIT Thesis no.ET-99-10 30050120749592 17/08/2026 3 17/08/2026 22-AIT Thesis (Replacement)
      Available for Loans Asian Institute of Technology Library Asian Institute of Technology Library Archives 17/08/2026     AIT Thesis no.ET-99-10 30050120365571 17/08/2026   17/08/2026 40-Archives
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