A decision support system for forecasting of stock prices

By: Call Number: AIT Thesis no.CS-94-24 Contributor(s): Material type: TextSeries: Asian Institute of Technology. Thesis ; no. CS-94-24Publication details: Bangkok : Asian Institute of Technology, 1994Description: 73 leavesSubject(s): Online resources: Dissertation note: Thesis (M.Sc.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1994 Summary: This study presents a stock decision support system (SDSS) developed for forecasting stock prices in Taiwan market. The SDSS improves the decision making process by placing information in the hands of the user at the proper time and to supports a complete flexibility in the choice and sequence of analysis, and in the presentation of the results. The hybrid technique combines the back propagation neural network, Box-Jenkins ARIMA time series method and stepwise regression analysis method to provide the user with a flexible modeling and forecasting environment. The results show in time series forecasting no matter what the lead time equal to one or more the present value is the most important factor of forecasting values. The system assists the user in making the correct and speedy decision in choice of the best buy and sell time of a stock. It has been shown by several simulation results that SDSS system is quite helpful for making a good forecast of stock price.
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A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirement for the degree of Master of Science, School of Engineering and Technology

Thesis (M.Sc.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1994

This study presents a stock decision support system (SDSS) developed for forecasting stock prices in Taiwan market. The SDSS improves the decision making process by placing information in the hands of the user at the proper time and to supports a complete flexibility in the choice and sequence of analysis, and in the presentation of the results. The hybrid technique combines the back propagation neural network, Box-Jenkins ARIMA time series method and stepwise regression analysis method to provide the user with a flexible modeling and forecasting environment. The results show in time series forecasting no matter what the lead time equal to one or more the present value is the most important factor of forecasting values. The system assists the user in making the correct and speedy decision in choice of the best buy and sell time of a stock. It has been shown by several simulation results that SDSS system is quite helpful for making a good forecast of stock price.

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