An algorithm for estimating the load forecasts and economic parameters for rural electrification program in Pakistan

By: Call Number: AIT Thesis no. CA-83-27 Contributor(s): Material type: TextSeries: Asian Institute of Technology. Thesis ; no. CA-83-27Publication details: Bangkok : Asian Institute of Technology, 1983Description: v, 47 pSubject(s): Online resources: Dissertation note: Thesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1983 Summary: Electrical energy is considered to be the bloodline to any productive activity in a developing society. Pakistan is essentially an agricultural country. Approximately 73.4 percent of its population and industry. The agricultural output constitutes about 33 percent of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP). A review of the past government policies articulated under the various five year plans reveal that the importance of rural electrification to the overall development objectives of society was grossly underestimated. Electrification of rural areas was conceived of largely as a welfare measure, not as instrumental to economic development, but as a service to villages, with perhaps the latent benefit of making life in the villages more comfortable. This report provides a framework to asses the role of rural electrification Masterplanning program in Pakistan toward achieving economic growth from a wider, national perspective. A computer based system is developed to prepare load forecasts and estimate different economic parameters. It is found that electricity can be treated as a principal, economically sound input into rural development as a whole.
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40-Archives Asian Institute of Technology Library Archives AIT Thesis no. CA-83-27 (Browse shelf(Opens below)) Available 30050160064688

A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirement for the degree of Master of Engineering, School of Engineering and Technology

Thesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1983

Electrical energy is considered to be the bloodline to any productive activity in a developing society. Pakistan is essentially an agricultural country. Approximately 73.4 percent of its population and industry. The agricultural output constitutes about 33 percent of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP). A review of the past government policies articulated under the various five year plans reveal that the importance of rural electrification to the overall development objectives of society was grossly underestimated. Electrification of rural areas was conceived of largely as a welfare measure, not as instrumental to economic development, but as a service to villages, with perhaps the latent benefit of making life in the villages more comfortable. This report provides a framework to asses the role of rural electrification Masterplanning program in Pakistan toward achieving economic growth from a wider, national perspective. A computer based system is developed to prepare load forecasts and estimate different economic parameters. It is found that electricity can be treated as a principal, economically sound input into rural development as a whole.

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