TY - BOOK AU - Nguyen Thanh Binh AU - Lefevre,Thierry AU - Heredia,Juan B. AU - Chen,Xavier ED - The Government of France, TI - Sectoral energy demand analysis and industrial energy demand forecasting for the Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam T2 - Thesis PY - 1994/// CY - Bangkok PB - Asian Institute of Technology KW - Power resources KW - Research KW - Vietnam KW - Energy consumption KW - Forecasting N1 - A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirement for the degree of Master of Engineering; Thesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1994 N2 - In this study, the Ho Chi Minh City's energy consumption by economic sectors such as industry, household and commerce, transport and agriculture in the 1982-1992 period is analyzed. The past evolution of energy consumption is studied based on the economic analysis and the techno-economic approach. It is found out that the economic development has had a strong influence on the evolution of the industrial energy consumption, particularly since 1988 when the sweeping reforms of the country were introduced. The MEDEE-S model is used to forecast the industrial energy demand up to the year 2012 based on two typical macro-economic scenarios (high and low cases). The possibility of gas penetration is considered as a fuel substitution for fuelwood during the forecasting periods. A set of demand-side management tools is also proposed based on the results of some preliminary energy audits made in HCMC and the experiences of neighboring countries UR - http://203.159.5.9/ait-thesis/detail.php?q=B16975 ER -