02325nam a2200241   450000500170000000800410001703500150005810000280007324500800010126000520018130000140023349000270024750001370027450200580041152012900046965000290175970000330178870000470182170000450186871000460191381000590195985600650201820260819084629.0180698         th                  eng    a.b115338821 aParajuli, Bishnu Prasad10aTime extended logit type models based on classical consumer behavior theory  aBangkok :bAsian Institute of Technology,c1996  a92 leaves1 aThesis ;vno. TE-95-07  aA thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirement for the degree of  Master of Engineering, School of Civil Engineering    aThesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1996  aTwo models for travel demand forecasting are formulated based on consumer behavior  theory and considering value of time saving. Techniques for estimation of model parameters are  also illustrated using social trip data. The first model predicts the demand share of each travel  mode from each origin to each destination simultaneously. Second model is total demand model  which predicts the total number of trips generated in a given origin. Combination of these two  models gives the actual number of trips by each mode from each origin to each destination. All  the demand functions include the policy variables such as travel time and travel cost which  facilitate to assess the effect of policy change on travel demand.  Prediction accuracy of models is checked comparing the predicted and observed  demands. Results show that predictions are fairly accurate with high correlation coefficient  between the predicted and observed demands. Sensitivity analysis is carried out. Results show  that demands are highly sensitive to the variables considered in the model.  Predictions and sensitivity's of the said models were compared with those of  conventional models. Results prevailed that proposed models are better that the conventional  one in terms of accuracy and sensitiveness10aTransportationxPlanning1 aMorisugi, Hisa,eChairperson1 aFujiwara, Okitsugu,eExamination committee1 aChen, Jian Shiuh,eExamination committee2 aGovernment of Austria,eScholarship donor2 aAsian Institute of Technology.tThesis ;vno. TE-95-07  3Full-Textuhttp://203.159.5.9/ait-thesis/detail.php?q=B15011