TY - SER AU - Sunida Chaokasem AU - Huynh,Ngoc Phien AU - Sadananda,Ramakoti AU - Tien,Hoang Le ED - Royal Thai Government, TI - Wind data modeling and forecasting T2 - Thesis PY - 2000/// CY - Bangkok PB - Asian Institute of Technology KW - Wind forecasting KW - Winds KW - Speed KW - Measurement N1 - A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Engineering, School of Advanced Technologies; Thesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology 2000 N2 - In this study, hourly wind speed and direction at Promthep cape in Phuket, are forecasted and simulated using Box-Jenkins and Backpropagation approaches without the use of other external data. It was found that ARIMA models and seasonal ARIMA models are useful for short-range forecasting but are not very good in data generation. Backpropagation network models are good for forecasting and for generating data, which resemble the observed data in terms of the important statistics (mean, variance and skewness coefficient). For forecasting, Box-Jenkins models can perform slightly better than Backpropagation network models. However, for data generation (simulation), Backpropagation models can preserve the statistics of the observed data much better than Box-Jenkins models UR - http://203.159.5.9/ait-thesis/detail.php?q=B06718 ER -