03526nas a2200421 a 4500 20260818094456.0 090116s2007 th uu|m rtt 0| a1eng d .b12044982 AIT Thesis no.ET-07-30 Badee Prachumchon Econometric analyses of electrical energy-and peak power-demand : the case of Thailand Pathum Thani, Thailand : Asian Institute of Technology, 2007 97 p. : ill. Thesis ; no. ET-07-30 A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Engineering in Energy Thesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 2007 This thesis analyses peak power demand and electrical energy of short-run and long-run in part of PEA, MEA and EGAT, using different econometric models from method of Engle-Granger and Johansen. Monthly data was used for short-run forecasting and yearly data for long-run forecasting. Several different model specifications were tested. The study shows that GDP and electricity price are of the key variables for long run forecasting while GDP, manufacturing production index and temperature are found to be the significant variables in short-run. The projection for peak power demand and electrical energy during 2008 through 2020 will be forecasted from growth rate scenario of GDP (low, medium and target). If the growth rate of GDP meets to the target (7.5 percent per annum) the average annual growth rate of peak power demand in Thailand will be 4.7 percent per annum while electrical energy demand will be 11.4 percent per annum. If GDP growth rate scenario is medium (6.5 percent per annum during 2008 through 2020) the average annual growth rate of peak power demand in Thailand will be 4.4 percent per annum while electrical energy will be 9.9 percent per annum and if GDP growth rate scenario is low (4 percent during 2008 through 2012 and 3.8% during 2013 through 2020) average annual growth rate for peak power demand in Thailand will be 3.6 percent per annum while electrical energy will be 6.2 percent per annum Electric power consumption Econometric models Thailand Electric power consumption Thailand Forecasting Shrestha, Ram M., Examination Committee Weerakorn Ongsakul, Examination Committee Nadarajah, Mithulananthan, Examination Committee Energy Conservation Fund Energy Policy and Planning Office (EPPO), Scholorship donor Asian Institute of Technology. Thesis ; no. ET-07-30 Full-Text http://203.159.5.9/ait-thesis/detail.php?q=B02168 .b12044982 mnait u 240401 0 090116 m a u 0 mnait mnait mnarc 20 40 Barcode : 30050120603492 CREATED : 2007-08-19 RECORD # : i12587424 LPATRON : 1020926 LCHKIN : 2009-03-01 # RENEWALS : 0 # OVERDUE : 0 IUSE3 : 0 TOT CHKOUT : 4 TOT RENEW : 4 Barcode : 30050120603468 CREATED : 2007-08-19 RECORD # : i12587436 LPATRON : 1019664 LCHKIN : 2008-04-19 # RENEWALS : 0 # OVERDUE : 0 IUSE3 : 0 TOT CHKOUT : 1 TOT RENEW : 0 Barcode : 30050120369045 CREATED : 2016-08-06 RECORD # : i13022040 LPATRON : 0 LCHKIN : - # RENEWALS : 0 # OVERDUE : 0 IUSE3 : 0 TOT CHKOUT : 0 TOT RENEW : 0 32849 32849 0 0 0 0 MAIN MAIN mnait 2026-08-18 50.00 0 AIT Thesis no.ET-07-30 30050120603492 2026-08-18 09:44:56 1 2026-08-18 20 0 0 0 0 MAIN MAIN mnait 2026-08-18 50.00 0 AIT Thesis no.ET-07-30 30050120603468 2026-08-18 09:44:56 2 2026-08-18 20 0 0 0 0 MAIN MAIN mnarc 2026-08-18 0 AIT Thesis no.ET-07-30 30050120369045 2026-08-18 09:44:56 2026-08-18 40