03047nam a2200409 4500 20260818095451.0 280998s1990 th r 0000|0 eng d .b10234391 AIT Thesis no. ET-90-14 Dhungel, Himesh Electrical load forecasting in Nepal : application of time series and simulation methods Bangkok : Asian Institute of Technology, 1990 120 p. Thesis ; no. ET-90-14 A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements of Master of Engineering, School of Engineering and Technology Thesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1990 This study deals with the problem of short term and long term peak load forecasting in Nepal. The stochastic time series Autoregressive Integrated Moving average (ARIMA) method has been used to forecast load in the hourly, daily, weekly and the monthly time horizons. In the paper, the bivariate transfer function model with temperature as an explanatory variable is used to forecast the hourly peak demand of a small area. A comparison of the transfer function model and the ARIMA model (to forecast hourly demand) found that transfer function model performed better than the ARIMA model. The long term simulation type of forecasting model called Model for Analysis of the Energy Demand (MAED) is used to forecast the annual pealed load and the system load curves. The analysis and simulation of t h e system load curves under different hypothetical conditions suggested that load management strategies could possibly implemented (in Nepal) to reduce the peak load in the intermediate term. The case study was carried out for the integrated electric system of Nepal Electricity Authority. Electric power consumption Nepal Forecasting Shrestha, Ram M., Chairperson Lapillonne, Bruno, Examination Committee Nagarur, Nagendra N., Examination Committee The Government of Australia, Scholarship Donor Asian Institute of Technology. Thesis ; no. ET-90-14 Full-Text http://203.159.5.9/ait-thesis/detail.php?q=B18318 .b10234391 mnait x 240329 2 951012 m a x 0 mnait mnait mnarc 20 40 Barcode : 30050003105532 CREATED : 1995-10-14 RECORD # : i10286408 LPATRON : 1016624 LCHKIN : 2005-04-10 # RENEWALS : 0 # OVERDUE : 0 IUSE3 : 0 TOT CHKOUT : 2 TOT RENEW : 0 Barcode : 30050003655346 CREATED : 1995-10-14 RECORD # : i1028641x LPATRON : 1016624 LCHKIN : 2006-09-03 # RENEWALS : 0 # OVERDUE : 0 IUSE3 : 0 TOT CHKOUT : 5 TOT RENEW : 2 Barcode : 30050120344311 CREATED : 2016-06-15 RECORD # : i13040121 LPATRON : 0 LCHKIN : - # RENEWALS : 0 # OVERDUE : 0 IUSE3 : 0 TOT CHKOUT : 0 TOT RENEW : 0 35905 35905 0 0 0 0 MAIN MAIN mnait 2026-08-18 0 AIT Thesis no. ET-90-14 30050003105532 2026-08-18 09:54:51 1 2026-08-18 20 0 0 0 0 MAIN MAIN mnait 2026-08-18 0 AIT Thesis no. ET-90-14 30050003655346 2026-08-18 09:54:51 2 2026-08-18 20 0 0 0 0 MAIN MAIN mnarc 2026-08-18 0 AIT Thesis no. ET-90-14 30050120344311 2026-08-18 09:54:51 2026-08-18 40