01460nas|a2200253 i 450000500170000000800410001703500150005810000170007324500450009026000520013530000100018749000460019750001150024350200830035852004010044165000300084265000110087270000330088370000490091670000450096571000530101081000780106385600650114120260818100438.0121095s1978 th uu m rtt 00| a1eng d a.b1025481x1 aRasul, Tahir10aError estimation for substitution models aBangkok :bAsian Institute of Technology,c1978 a23 p.1 aSpecial studies project report ;vno. 124 aA special study submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements. for the degree of Master of Engineering. aSpecial Studies Project Report (M. Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1978 aThis work deals with the error estimation for technol ogical substitution models. By the use of actual data, errors have been calculated for the Floyd, Fisher-Pry, Blackman and Generalized models. A relationship is found, as to the manner in which error varies due to changes in forecasting horizon. From the result, conclusions about relative efficiency of the four models are also presented. 0aTechnological forecasting 0aErrors1 aSharif, M. N., eChairperson1 aTechapun Raengkhum, eExamination Committee1 aTang, John C.S., eExamination Committee2 aThe Royal Danish Government, eScholarship Donor2 aAsian Institute of Technology.tSpecial studies project report ;vno. 124 3Full-Textuhttp://203.159.5.9/ait-thesis/detail.php?q=B22610