03187nam a2200409 4500 20260818114245.0 170398 th eng .b10290503 AIT Thesis no. 1164 Khan, Md. Safiqur Rahman Forecasting non-renewable energy resources consumption pattern Bangkok : Asian Institute of Technology, 1977 112 p. Thesis ; no. 1164 A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Engineering of the Asian Institute of Technology, Bangkok, Thailand Thesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1977 The primary aim of this study is to make a forecast regarding nonrenewable energy resources consumption pattern. To attain this objective the study has been divided into two parts. In the first part, consumption of energy, derived from different sources for the last 25 years has been analyzed. These analysis includes the consumption of the World as a whole, developing countries of different regions and some other selected countries. It has been found that energy consumption has been growing exponentially in each case. But this exponential growth cannot continue for infinite period as the reserves are finite. Hence, an assumption has been made that, future energy consumption will depend upon the past trend, as well as the extent of remaining reserves. Using this assumption, an empirical model has been developed ·in the second part of this study, to forecast the future energy consumption of each individual primary energy source (including coal, oil, natural gas and nuclear energy). In order to retain the dynamic nature of the forecast, the system dynamics methodology has been used. Since the reserve estimates vary from estimator to estimator, four sets of reserve estimates were used for forecasting with this model. The model' s forecasts are finally compared with other forecast. Energy consumption Sharif, M. N., Chairperson Pakorn Adulbhan, Examination Committee Techapun Raengkhum, Examination Committee Government of The Netherlands, Scholarship Donor Asian Institute of Technology. Thesis ; no. 1164 Full-Text http://203.159.5.9/ait-thesis/detail.php?q=B23199 .b10290503 mnait x 251210 2 951012 m a x 0 mnait mnait mnarc 20 40 Barcode : 30050003023073 CREATED : 1994-05-17 RECORD # : i10359370 LPATRON : 0 LCHKIN : - # RENEWALS : 0 # OVERDUE : 0 IUSE3 : 0 TOT CHKOUT : 0 TOT RENEW : 0 Barcode : 30050003023081 CREATED : 1994-05-17 RECORD # : i10359382 LPATRON : 0 LCHKIN : - # RENEWALS : 0 # OVERDUE : 0 IUSE3 : 0 TOT CHKOUT : 0 TOT RENEW : 0 Barcode : 30050160087853 CREATED : 2016-04-05 RECORD # : i12971108 LPATRON : 0 LCHKIN : - # RENEWALS : 0 # OVERDUE : 0 IUSE3 : 0 TOT CHKOUT : 0 TOT RENEW : 0 46457 46457 0 0 0 0 MAIN MAIN mnait 2026-08-18 0 AIT Thesis no. 1164 30050003023073 2026-08-18 11:42:45 1 2026-08-18 20 0 0 0 0 MAIN MAIN mnait 2026-08-18 0 AIT Thesis no. 1164 30050003023081 2026-08-18 11:42:45 2 2026-08-18 20 0 0 0 0 MAIN MAIN mnarc 2026-08-18 0 AIT Thesis no. 1164 30050160087853 2026-08-18 11:42:45 2026-08-18 40