03497nas a2200433 a 4500 20260817162333.0 110729s2010 th uu|m rtt 0| a1eng d .b12098954 AIT Thesis no.ET-10-25 Thad Aosombatkun An analysis of electricity demand and pollutant emissions using cointegration and ARIMA modeling : a case study of Thailand Pathum Thani, Thailand : Asian Institute of Technology, 2010 132 p. : ill. + 1 online resource Thesis ; no. ET-10-25 A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science in Energy Thesis (M.Sc.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 2010 The overall objective of this thesis was to analyze the electricity demand and pollutant emissions from electricity generation in Thailand. The cointegration approach was used to test the relationship between independent variables and a dependent variable, while Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model was used for forecasting. Annual time series data consists of gross domestic product (GDP), population, real average price of electricity and real price of liquid petroleum gas which have been taken into account. The study reveals that GDP per capita is the major factor for electricity demand in Thailand. Moreover, population and GDP are significant variables for CO2 emissions and SO2 emissions from electricity generation in Thailand, respectively. The estimation of short run and long run elasticities for electricity demand in Thailand shows that all of short run elasticities are smaller than the long run elasticities. Almost all of short run and long run elasticities in absolute value are less than unity; therefore, they are inelastic. It has only long run income elasticity which is elastic. The results form forecasting project that CO2 emissions and SO2 emissions have continuously increase each year that correspond with the raising of electricity demand in the future. Electric power consumption Thailand Forecasting Electric power consumption Thailand Evironmental aspects Marpaung, Charles O.P., Chairperson Singh, Jai Govind, Examination Committee Salam, Abdul P., Examination Committee PEA, Scholarship donor Asian Institute of Technology Education Cooperation Project, Scholarship donor RTG Fellowship, Scholarship donor Asian Institute of Technology. Thesis ; no. ET-10-25 Full-Text http://203.159.5.9/ait-thesis/detail.php?q=B02232 .b12098954 mnait u 240403 0 110729 m a u 3 000:001:PDF:b1209895:000668:0:0:0:0:0:0 Abstract-AIT Thesis no.ET-10-25 n mnait mnarc 22 40 Barcode : 30050120603666 CREATED : 2014-05-02 RECORD # : i12758140 LPATRON : 0 LCHKIN : - # RENEWALS : 0 # OVERDUE : 0 IUSE3 : 0 TOT CHKOUT : 0 TOT RENEW : 0 Barcode : 30050120368385 CREATED : 2016-08-06 RECORD # : i13022908 LPATRON : 0 LCHKIN : - # RENEWALS : 0 # OVERDUE : 0 IUSE3 : 0 TOT CHKOUT : 0 TOT RENEW : 0 4720 4720 0 0 0 0 MAIN MAIN mnait 2026-08-17 50.00 0 AIT Thesis no.ET-10-25 30050120603666 2026-08-17 16:23:33 3 2026-08-17 22 0 0 0 0 MAIN MAIN mnarc 2026-08-17 0 AIT Thesis no.ET-10-25 30050120368385 2026-08-17 16:23:33 2026-08-17 40