04193nas a2200433 a 4500 20260817162338.0 110511s2010 th uu|m rtt 0| a1eng d .b12095229 AIT Thesis no.WM-09-04 Niroshinie, Malawara Arachchige Chamila Analysis of extreme rainfall and floods in Colombo under climate change scenarios Pathum Thani, Thailand : Asian Institute of Technology, 2010 94, 14 leaves : ill. Thesis ; no. WM-09-04 A thesissubmitted in partial fulfillment of the requirementsfor thedegree of Master of Engineeringin Water Engineering and Management Thesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 2009 Colombo, the commercial capital of Sri Lanka is located in the flood plains of Kelani River,which makes Colombo area more vulnerabledue to flooding duringthe monsoon seasons.Furthermore, it has beenidentified that Colombo has undergone climate changes over the past years and very random change of rainfall anomalies had been observed. However, no research had beencarried out on analyzing extreme flood scenarios which can happen due to climate change conditionsin future. This study focused on analyzing the extreme flooding scenarios due to climate change in Colombo area. Specific objectives were, to analyze future climate conditions in Kelani basin with different GCM data, to define extreme rainfall scenarios for Kelani basin taking climate change into account, to model and simulate food inundations in Colombo area under extreme rainfall scenarios and to propose adaptation measures to reduce the impacts in Colombo area.Selection of the best GCM, which can represent the trend of rainfall in Colombo area, was done prior to analyzing climate change impacts to the study area. With compared to the observed data for the baseline and GCM data for the base line, CSIRO-Mk2 was the best among considered GCMs. Delta change method and Statistical DownscalingModel were used to downscale the GCM data. Aseasonal variation of future rainfall was observed with downscaled rainfall data.Frequency analysis was done for annual maximums of downscaled daily rainfall data to obtain the extreme events.Flood ModelingSystem (FMS) developed by UN University, JapanwithTokyo University, JapanandNippon Koei Geographic Analysis System (NKGIAS) was used for flood inundation modeling in Colombo area (lowerreach of Kelani River). According to the flood inundation modeling results, future flood events will createmore inundations than the past events. Therefore, possible adaptation measures especially non structural measures were suggested accordingly Rain and rainfall Environmental aspects Sri Lanka Colombo Floods Environmental aspects Sri Lanka Colombo Climatic changes Sri Lanka Colombo Babel, Mukand Singh, Chairperson Sutat Weesakul, Examination committee Perret, Sylvain Roger, Examination Committee Herath, Srikantha, Examination committee Ministry of Foreign Affairs,Norway, Scholarship donor Asian Institute of Technology. Thesis ; no. WM-09-04 Full-Text http://203.159.5.9/ait-thesis/detail.php?q=B04323 .b12095229 mnait u 240403 0 110511 m a u 0 000:001:PDF:b1209522:000635:0:0:0:0:0:0 Abstract-AIT Thesis no.WM-09-04 n mnait mnarc 22 40 Barcode : 30050120567812 CREATED : 2014-03-28 RECORD # : i12781393 LPATRON : 1026944 LCHKIN : 2017-06-19 # RENEWALS : 0 # OVERDUE : 0 IUSE3 : 4 TOT CHKOUT : 6 TOT RENEW : 0 Barcode : 30050120230726 CREATED : 2016-05-04 RECORD # : i1292409x LPATRON : 0 LCHKIN : - # RENEWALS : 0 # OVERDUE : 0 IUSE3 : 0 TOT CHKOUT : 0 TOT RENEW : 0 4744 4744 0 0 0 0 MAIN MAIN mnait 2026-08-17 50.00 0 AIT Thesis no.WM-09-04 30050120567812 2026-08-17 16:23:38 3 2026-08-17 22 0 0 0 0 MAIN MAIN mnarc 2026-08-17 0 AIT Thesis no.WM-09-04 30050120230726 2026-08-17 16:23:39 2026-08-17 40