03491nas a2200433 a 4500 20260818134319.0 230602s2023 th u m rtt 0| a1eng d .b12406703 AIT Thesis no.SE-23-03 Kamandika, Firsta Arianty Impact of carbon price on Indonesia{u2019}s power sector up to 2050 Pathum Thani, Thailand : Asian Institute of Technology, 2023 145 leaves Thesis ; no. SE-23-03 A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science Sustainable Energy Transition Thesis (M. Sc.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 2023 This study uses the TIMES model to assess Indonesia's power sector's carbon price impact from 2020 to 2050 anditheipriceineedediby 2030 to meet the Paris Accord NDC target. Four scenarios are used to model the impact of carbon price up to 2050: no carbon price, Indonesia's current price of USD 2.02/tCO2e, ICPF middle- and high-income countries, USD 50/tCO2e and USD 75/tCO2e. Four price scenarios{u2014}10, 25, 35, and 150 USD/tCO2e {u2014}are added to better understand the carbon price's effects. As carbon prices rise, installed capacity and power generation will shift to lower-carbon technology. Ultracritical coal, gas-fired, solar, geothermal, and hydropower plants will replace subcritical coal. Investment, fixed, and variable costs would exceed BaU with a higher carbon price. 2.02 to 25 USD/tCO2e may start the coal-to-gas transition without changing the generation profile. The generation will change significantly above 35 USD/tCO2e. Carbon emissions peak lower with rising carbon prices. Carbon prices below USD 25 are costly and ineffective. Indonesia ratified the Paris Accord NDC in 2016, pledging toicutiemissionsibyi29ipercentibyi2030ias well as 41 percent with internationalisupport.iEnergy sector emissions need to decrease by 11% for a 29 percent reduction and 14% for a 41 percent reduction. A 29% reduction requires USD 39.65/tCO2e carbon price, while a 41% reduction requires USD 43.78/tCO2e. These prices are still within the reasonable ICPF price limit for Indonesia to approach the middle-income country price floor. Carbon taxes Indonesia Electric power systems Indonesia Renewable energy sources Indonesia Dhakal, Shobhakar, Chairperson Salam, P. Abdul, Examination committee Sharma, Deepak, Examination committee Energy Faculty Scholarship, Scholarship Donor Asian Institute of Technology Scholarships, Scholarship Donor AIT Alumni Scholarship and Alternative Energy Funded, Scholarship Donor Asian Institute of Technology. Thesis ; no. SE-23-03 Full-Text http://203.159.5.9/ait-thesis/detail.php?q=B19208 .b12406703 mnait m 250421 0 230602 m a m 0 mnarc mnarc 67 40 Barcode : - CREATED : 2023-05-24 RECORD # : i13450360 LPATRON : 0 LCHKIN : - # RENEWALS : 0 # OVERDUE : 0 IUSE3 : 0 TOT CHKOUT : 0 TOT RENEW : 0 Barcode : 30050121040637 CREATED : 2023-05-24 RECORD # : i13450438 LPATRON : 0 LCHKIN : - # RENEWALS : 0 # OVERDUE : 0 IUSE3 : 0 TOT CHKOUT : 0 TOT RENEW : 0 57930 57930 0 0 0 0 MAIN MAIN mnarc 2026-08-18 0 AIT Thesis no.SE-23-03 2026-08-18 13:43:19 2026-08-18 67 0 0 0 0 MAIN MAIN mnarc 2026-08-18 0 AIT Thesis no.SE-23-03 30050121040637 2026-08-18 13:43:19 1 2026-08-18 40