Duong Anh Tran <br/><br/>
Impact of climate change on water resources, rice production and income in Ca Mau Province, Vietnam 

 - Pathum Thani :  Asian Institute of Technology,  2012 
 - 137 leaves :  ill., charts 
 - Thesis ;  no. WM-12-15 .
 - Asian Institute of Technology.  Thesis ;  no. WM-12-15 .
<br/><br/> A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements  for the degree of Master of Engineering in Water Engineering Management 
<br/><br/>Thesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 2012 
<br/><br/> Impact  of  climate  change  on  water  resources  and  agriculture  secto r  has  become  a  tremendous  problem  for  many  countries  as  increase  in  water  demand,  population  growth,  and food security are observed. Vietnam is one of most affected country  by  climate change in  the  world,  with  many  areas  prone  to  storm,  cyclone,  heavy  rain fall  and  other  extreme  events . Reducing of rice production and income will affect to socio - economic development  and  first,  seventh  millennium  development  goals  in  developing  countries  in  general,  in  Vietnam  particular.  Consequently,  studying  the  impact  of  climate  change  on  water  resources,  agriculture  and  income  that  investigate  how  climate  condition  in  the  future  affect to rice yield, agricultural income variation, has been the focus of this study. RClimdex  has  been  use  to  analyze  of  historical  climate  da ta.  The  analysis  revealed  that  average annual temperature annual precipitation increased in the past. Future climate of Ca  Mau  is  generated  by  statistical  downscaling  model  (SDSM  4.2)  from  output  of  HadCM3  General  Circulation  Model  for  A2,  B2  scenarios  def ined  by  IPCC.  It  is  found  that  maximum   temperature would   be   increased   up   to   4.03 o C   and   4.01 o C  and   annual  precipitation  would  be  increased  up  to  +31.1% and  24.1% under  A2  and  B2  scenario,  respectively.  The  research  also  apply  AquaCrop model  to  simulate  th e  growing  cycle  and  yield  of  rice  crop .  The predicted rice yield shows a significant ly increase in summer - autumn cycle and unsubstantial  decrease  i n  autumn - winter  cycle under  scenario  1 (full  application of  fertilizer  and  irrigation ) .  The  rice yield simula ted  for scenario  2 (full  application  of  fertilizer and  at  75% FC) shows the substantial rice  yield  reducing  in  both summer - autumn  and  autumn - winter  cycle  and  rise  up  for  autumn - winter  cycle.  The  study  also  indicates  that,  the  irrigation  water  of  this  area  is  not  fairly  suitable  for  irrigation  purpose  as  it  falls  under category slight to moderate by  effect  of  saline  concentration.  Net  income  of  rice  cultivation may be increased by 14.3% and decreased by 31% to 57% compared to income  of  rice  production  in  2 011  under  3  scenarios  in  the  year  of  2020  because  of  temperature  variation and precipitation changes 
<br/><br/><label>Subjects--Topical Terms: </label><br/>Water-supply, Agricultural--Vietnam--Ca Mau<br/>Climatic changes--Vietnam--Ca Mau