02749nam|a2200397 i 4500 20260817162820.0 020299s1986 th 0000|0 eng d .b10087035 AIT Thesis no.GT-85-07 Nakata, Ichiro Applicability of the time series analysis techniques for traffic volume forecast in developing countries Bangkok : Asian Institute of Technology, 1986 51 p. Thesis ; no. GT-85-07 A thesis submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Engineering School of Engineering and Technology Thesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1986 Traffic forecast is now very impormant because recent traffic increase has much influence on social problems. One of the typical forecast methods is the Box-Jenkins method. But,in developing countries it sometimes happens that the data size is insufficient for analysis. This is the result of testing the appropriacy of the Box-Jenkins method for traffic volume with small-scale data . This research establishs two kinds of method to forecast traffic volume throughout Thailand. One method uses the Box-Jenkins method directly to forecast the data in time series. The other method is a combination of the Box-Jenkins Method and a cross-sectional model. The investigation carried out through a comparison between these two methods to determine which method is more precise. The study reveals that the Box-Jenkins method is not applicable for the forecasting of small-scale traffic volume . More accurate and more detailed data collection and model improvement to decrease the forecast errors are recommended. Traffic flow Time-series analysis Miyamoto, Kazuaki, Chairperson Murata, Takahiro, Examination Committee Prapansak Buranaprapa, Examination Committee Government of Japan, Scholarship Donor Asian Institute of Technology. Thesis ; no. GT-85-07 Full-Text http://203.159.5.9/ait-thesis/detail.php?q=B19667 .b10087035 mnait s 240410 2 951012 m a s 0 mnait mnarc 22 40 Barcode : 30050120654032 CREATED : 2014-11-03 RECORD # : i12770450 LPATRON : 0 LCHKIN : - # RENEWALS : 0 # OVERDUE : 0 IUSE3 : 0 TOT CHKOUT : 0 TOT RENEW : 0 Barcode : 30050160052543 CREATED : 2016-05-19 RECORD # : i12983718 LPATRON : 0 LCHKIN : - # RENEWALS : 0 # OVERDUE : 0 IUSE3 : 0 TOT CHKOUT : 0 TOT RENEW : 0 6401 6401 0 0 0 0 MAIN MAIN mnait 2026-08-17 50.00 0 AIT Thesis no.GT-85-07 30050120654032 2026-08-17 16:28:20 3 2026-08-17 22 0 0 0 0 MAIN MAIN mnarc 2026-08-17 0 AIT Thesis no.GT-85-07 30050160052543 2026-08-17 16:28:20 1 2026-08-17 40