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  <titleInfo>
    <title>Prospects of growth in an oil dependent economy</title>
    <subTitle>the case of Indonesia</subTitle>
  </titleInfo>
  <name type="personal">
    <namePart>Arif, Muhammad Tasrif</namePart>
    <role>
      <roleTerm authority="marcrelator" type="text">creator</roleTerm>
    </role>
  </name>
  <name type="personal">
    <namePart>Saeed, Khalid</namePart>
    <role>
      <roleTerm type="text">Chairperson</roleTerm>
    </role>
  </name>
  <name type="personal">
    <namePart>Vrat, Prem</namePart>
    <role>
      <roleTerm type="text">Examination Committee</roleTerm>
    </role>
  </name>
  <name type="personal">
    <namePart>Frausum, Yves G. Van</namePart>
    <role>
      <roleTerm type="text">Examination Committee</roleTerm>
    </role>
  </name>
  <name type="corporate">
    <namePart>ASEAN-USAID</namePart>
    <role>
      <roleTerm type="text">Scholarship Donor</roleTerm>
    </role>
  </name>
  <typeOfResource>text</typeOfResource>
  <genre authority="marc">series</genre>
  <genre authority="marc">technical report</genre>
  <originInfo>
    <place>
      <placeTerm type="code" authority="marccountry">th</placeTerm>
    </place>
    <place>
      <placeTerm type="text">Bangkok</placeTerm>
    </place>
    <publisher>Asian Institute of Technology</publisher>
    <dateIssued>1985</dateIssued>
    <issuance>continuing</issuance>
  </originInfo>
  <language>
    <languageTerm authority="iso639-2b" type="code">eng</languageTerm>
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  <physicalDescription>
    <extent>163 p.</extent>
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  <abstract>Oil revenues give Indonesia an opportunity for rapid economic  growth. The revenues provide financial resources to stimulate the economy, increase Indonesian Government spending, increase investment, and  import the necessary goods and services to accelerate economic growth.  However, this rapid economic growth is followed by a rapid increase in  domestic oil consumption that is aggravated by an oil subsidy, leading  to increasing dependence on oil resources. When the oil runs out, the  Indonesian economy will go through a transition into an oil-independent  era.  This study is an attempt to understand the process and the mechanisms of economic growth in an oil dependent economy, in particular the  Indonesian economy from 1970 to 2030.  In this study, a generic system dynamics model is constructed to  analyze the transition. The model is developed based on a common macroeconomics model and considers market clearing mechanisms. The model also  represents the physical structure of the economy and the decision making  structure of the various actors in the system. Model simulation is used  to examine alternative policies to achieve a smooth transition.  In order to achieve a smooth transition, four main policy instruments are considered in this study. Those policies are (1) increase  government spending, (2) encourage investment, (3) restrict imports and  expand non-oil exports, and (4) introduce flexible specialization. The  first three policies have been proposed and implemented in developing  countries for improving their economic conditions over the past few decades. Among those policies, the study shows that in the long run the  technological environment which is represented by the fourth policy is  the most important one to sustain growth.</abstract>
  <note>A research study submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Engineering, School of Engineering and Technology</note>
  <note>Research Studies Project Report (M. Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1985</note>
  <subject authority="lcsh">
    <topic>Oil industries</topic>
    <topic>Indonesia</topic>
  </subject>
  <relatedItem type="series">
    <titleInfo>
      <title>Research studies project report ; no. IE-85-2</title>
    </titleInfo>
    <name type="corporate">
      <namePart>Asian Institute of Technology.</namePart>
      <namePart/>
    </name>
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  <identifier type="uri">http://203.159.5.9/ait-thesis/detail.php?q=B19872</identifier>
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    <url displayLabel="Full-Text">http://203.159.5.9/ait-thesis/detail.php?q=B19872</url>
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    <recordCreationDate encoding="marc">121095</recordCreationDate>
    <recordChangeDate encoding="iso8601">20260818175016.0</recordChangeDate>
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