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035 _a.b11405053
099 9 _aAIT Thesis no. ET-94-28
100 0 _aNguyen Thanh Binh
245 1 0 _aSectoral energy demand analysis and industrial energy demand forecasting for the Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
260 _aBangkok :
_bAsian Institute of Technology,
_c1994
300 _a187 leaves +1 online resource
490 1 _aThesis ;
_vno. ET-94-28
500 _aA thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirement for the degree of Master of Engineering
502 _aThesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1994
520 _aIn this study, the Ho Chi Minh City's energy consumption by economic sectors such as industry, household and commerce, transport and agriculture in the 1982-1992 period is analyzed. The past evolution of energy consumption is studied based on the economic analysis and the techno-economic approach. It is found out that the economic development has had a strong influence on the evolution of the industrial energy consumption, particularly since 1988 when the sweeping reforms of the country were introduced. The MEDEE-S model is used to forecast the industrial energy demand up to the year 2012 based on two typical macro-economic scenarios (high and low cases). The possibility of gas penetration is considered as a fuel substitution for fuelwood during the forecasting periods. A set of demand-side management tools is also proposed based on the results of some preliminary energy audits made in HCMC and the experiences of neighboring countries.
650 0 _aPower resources
_xResearch
_xVietnam
650 0 _aEnergy consumption
_xVietnam
_xForecasting
700 1 _aLefevre, Thierry,
_eChairperson
700 1 _aHeredia, Juan B.,
_eExamination Committee
700 1 _aChen, Xavier,
_eExamination Committee
710 2 _aThe Government of France,
_eScholarship Donor
810 2 _aAsian Institute of Technology.
_tThesis ;
_vno. ET-94-28
856 _3Full-Text
_u http://203.159.5.9/ait-thesis/detail.php?q=B16975
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