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008 290998s1992 th r 000| eng d
035 _a.b10590687
099 9 _aAIT Thesis no.ET-92-2
100 0 _aCao Quoc Hung
245 1 0 _aSectoral energy demand analysis and long term demand forecasting for the S.R. Vietnam
260 _aBangkok :
_bAsian Institute of Technology,
_c1992
300 _a139, A-23, B-16 leaves :
_bill.
490 1 _aThesis ;
_vno. ET-92-2
500 _aA thesis submitted in partial fulfillment requirements for the Degree of Master of Engineering
502 _aThesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology
520 _aIn this study, past energy consumption in the economic sectors of Vietnam, namely Industry, Household and Commerce, Transport and Agriculture in the period 1980-1990 is analyzed. The historical analysis consists of an economic analysis and a techno-economic analysis. Through these analysis, trend and factors behind the evolution of the past energy consumption are to be defined. It was found that the growth of the past energy consumption of in Industry and Transport has a trend very similar to that of the industrial output and Gross Social Products. Future energy demand of the industrial sector up to year 2005 is projected in three different scenarios, i.e low, base and high cases, using the Energy Demand Model for the Developing Countries (MEDEE-S). The impacts of the most important factors such as efficiency of fossil fuels for heating as well as energy intensity of Non-metal industry are investigated in a sensitivity analysis.
650 0 _aEnergy consumption
_xVietnam
_xForecasting
700 1 _aLefevre, Thierry,
_eChairperson
700 1 _aDang, G. V.,
_eExamination Committee
700 1 _aZhai, Y.,
_eExamination Committee
710 2 _aThe Goverment of France,
_eScholarship Donor
810 2 _aAsian Institute of Technology.
_tThesis ;
_vno. ET-92-2
856 _3Full-Text
_uhttp://203.159.5.9/ait-thesis/detail.php?id=B16244
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