000			03199nam a2200409 4500
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008			180698 th eng
035			_a.b11533882
099		9	_aAIT Thesis no. TE-95-07
100	1		_aParajuli, Bishnu Prasad
245	1	0	_aTime extended logit type models based on classical consumer behavior theory
260			_aBangkok : _bAsian Institute of Technology, _c1996
300			_a92 leaves
490	1		_aThesis ; _vno. TE-95-07
500			_aA thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirement for the degree of Master of Engineering, School of Civil Engineering
502			_aThesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1996
520			_aTwo models for travel demand forecasting are formulated based on consumer behavior theory and considering value of time saving. Techniques for estimation of model parameters are also illustrated using social trip data. The first model predicts the demand share of each travel mode from each origin to each destination simultaneously. Second model is total demand model which predicts the total number of trips generated in a given origin. Combination of these two models gives the actual number of trips by each mode from each origin to each destination. All the demand functions include the policy variables such as travel time and travel cost which facilitate to assess the effect of policy change on travel demand. Prediction accuracy of models is checked comparing the predicted and observed demands. Results show that predictions are fairly accurate with high correlation coefficient between the predicted and observed demands. Sensitivity analysis is carried out. Results show that demands are highly sensitive to the variables considered in the model. Predictions and sensitivity's of the said models were compared with those of conventional models. Results prevailed that proposed models are better that the conventional one in terms of accuracy and sensitiveness
650	1	0	_aTransportation _xPlanning
700	1		_aMorisugi, Hisa, _eChairperson
700	1		_aFujiwara, Okitsugu, _eExamination committee
700	1		_aChen, Jian Shiuh, _eExamination committee
710	2		_aGovernment of Austria, _eScholarship donor
810	2		_aAsian Institute of Technology. _tThesis ; _vno. TE-95-07
856			_3Full-Text _uhttp://203.159.5.9/ait-thesis/detail.php?q=B15011
907			_a.b11533882 _bmnait _cs
902			_a240329
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