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035 _a.b10241498
099 9 _aAIT Thesis no. ET-90-9
100 1 _aCulaba, Alvin B.
245 1 0 _aEnergy demand analysis and forecasting :
_bthe Metro Manila urban transport sector
260 _aBangkok :
_bAsian Institute of Technology,
_c1990
300 _a166 p.
490 1 _aThesis ;
_vno. ET-90-9
500 _aA thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Engineering, School of Engineering and Technology
502 _aThesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1990
520 _aThe pattern of energy demand in the road transport in Metro Manila in the Philippines was analyzed based on historical trend. Analyses showed that consumption in the sector is strongly influenced by gasoline fuel where it accounts for about two-thirds of the total fuel consumption. The other third is consumed by diesel fuel. Likewise, the energy demand in the year 2010 was forecasted using the techno-economic approach, the MEDEE-S model. The methodology involved specific surveys on the sector. The gas station and bus company surveys reconstitute the overall energy consumption breakdown in Metro Manila's road transport. It was found out that 67% of the total fuel consumption is accounted for by gasoline while 33% goes to diesel where cars consume about 50% of these total consumption of fuel. The main determinants of the future energy demand sector are specific consumption and mileage . Results forecast show that gasoline would still account for the share in the energy consumption as economy and population grow.
650 0 _aEnergy consumption
_xPhilippines
_xManila
_xForecasting
700 1 _aLapillonne, Bruno,
_eChairperson
700 1 _aMora, Jean-Claude,
_eExamination Committee
700 1 _aGiap Van Dang,
_eExamination Committee
700 1 _aZhai Youg-Ping,
_eExamination Committee
710 2 _aThe Government of France,
_eScholarship Donor
810 2 _aAsian Institute of Technology.
_tThesis ;
_vno. ET-90-9
856 _3Full-Text
_uhttp://203.159.5.9/ait-thesis/detail.php?q=B18313
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