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035 _a.b10260456
099 9 _aAIT Thesis no. IE-87-05
100 1 _aChen, Chun-yao Jennifer
245 1 0 _aEvaluation of generation reliability indices :
_bthe case of Taiwan Power Company
260 _aBangkok :
_bAsian Institute of Technology,
_c1987
300 _a62, [48] p.
490 1 _aThesis ;
_vno. IE-87-05
500 _aA thesis report submitted in partial fulfillment of t he requirements for the degree of Master of Engineering, School of Engineering and Technology
502 _aThesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1987
520 _aThe method of calculating generation reliability indices had been developed for over three decades; however, the accuracy of its estimation is still doubtful. This study used the historical record of Taiwan Power Company as a data base to estimate the generation reliability indices as if we did not know the records and then use the result to compared with the actual records in order to evaluate the generation reliability indices method . A computer program with eight sub routines was developed in this thesis study according to the developed theorem and a new load shape approximation method. Monthly load duration curves for each year were estimated and transferred into weekly load duration curves. After this, forced outage rate s of units were convolved with the approximated load duration curve to yield an equivalent load curve of customer' s demand by weekly intervals. Hydro energy were then shaved from the equivalent load duration curve according to two policies, namely economic water policy and defensive water policy, c hose n by the cases. At last, generation reliability indices Hourly Loss Of Load Expectation & Expected Energy Not Served) were calculated after hydro output was considered. Eight cases of different assumptions were calculated in the study a nd compared with the actual records. It shows that this method have better estimations when the reserved margin of the system is higher than 1 5%. Therefore , it is still a useful tool for the planning of future power expansion program.
650 0 _aElectric power production
_xTaiwan
700 1 _aOudheusden, Dirk L. van,
_eChairperson
700 1 _aCodoni, Rene,
_eExamination Committee
700 1 _aAwate, Prakash G.,
_eExamiantion Committee
710 2 _aGovernment of Rep. of China,
_eScholarship Donor
810 2 _aAsian Institute of Technology.
_tThesis ;
_vno. IE-87-05
856 _3Full-Text
_uhttp://203.159.5.9/ait-thesis/detail.php?q=B19332
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