| 000 | 02514nam a2200397 4500 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 005 | 20260818114241.0 | ||
| 008 | 310398 th eng | ||
| 035 | _a.b10290357 | ||
| 099 | 9 | _aAIT Thesis no. 1373 | |
| 100 | 1 | _aChang, Tsai Li | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | _aForecasting based on time series using different smoothing techniques |
| 260 |
_aBangkok : _bAsian Institute of Technology, _c1978 |
||
| 300 | _a64 p. | ||
| 490 | 1 |
_aThesis ; _vno. 1373 |
|
| 500 | _aA thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science of the Asian Institute of Technology, Bangkok, Thailand | ||
| 502 | _aThesis (M.Sc.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1978 | ||
| 520 | _aOne common way of modeling a time series is to find a transformation that reduces the observed data to random noise. Earlier procedures for technological forecasting based on time series data were of a some what ad-hoc nature, though theoretical justifications for their use were generally available. This study attempts to introduce a more powerful tool in technological forecasting based on time series by using Box-Jenkins approach, which is a newly developed technique. The basic concept and mathematical models of moving averages, exponential smoothing, and Box-Jenkins methodology are outlined and illustrated by their application to three time series concerned with technological forecasting. Comparison is then made by use of sum of squares of lead- 3 forecast error. | ||
| 650 | 0 | _aTime-series analysis | |
| 650 | 0 | _aTechnological forecasting | |
| 700 | 1 |
_aSharif, M. N., _eChairperson |
|
| 700 | 0 |
_a Pakorn Adulbhan, _eExamination Committee |
|
| 700 | 0 |
_aTechapun Raengkhum, _eExamination Committee |
|
| 710 | 2 |
_aThe Government of Republic of China, _eScholarship Donor |
|
| 810 | 2 |
_aAsian Institute of Technology. _tThesis ; _vno. 1373 |
|
| 856 |
_3Full-Text _uhttp://203.159.5.9/ait-thesis/detail.php?q=B22945 |
||
| 907 |
_a.b10290357 _bmnait _cx |
||
| 902 | _a251029 | ||
| 998 |
_b2 _c951012 _dm _ea _fx _g0 |
||
| 945 | _lmnait | ||
| 945 | _lmnarc | ||
| 942 | _c20 | ||
| 942 | _c40 | ||
| 909 |
_aBarcode : 30050004430558 _bCREATED : 1994-05-17 _cRECORD # : i10359151 _dLPATRON : 1010894 _eLCHKIN : 1998-02-14 _f# RENEWALS : 0 _g# OVERDUE : 0 _hIUSE3 : 0 _iTOT CHKOUT : 1 _jTOT RENEW : 0 |
||
| 909 |
_aBarcode : 30050160082003 _bCREATED : 2016-05-13 _cRECORD # : i12977640 _dLPATRON : 0 _eLCHKIN : - _f# RENEWALS : 0 _g# OVERDUE : 0 _hIUSE3 : 0 _iTOT CHKOUT : 0 _jTOT RENEW : 0 |
||
| 999 |
_c46436 _d46436 |
||