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035 _a.b12467583
099 9 _aAIT Thesis no.EV-25-21
100 1 _aThet Htar Nyo
245 1 0 _aA machine learning approach to localizing methane emission factors in rice cultivation :
_ba case study in Ayutthaya, Thailand
260 _aPathum Thani, Thailand :
_bAsian Institute of Technology,
_c2025
300 _a95 leaves :
_bill.+
_e1 online resource
490 1 _aThesis ;
_vno. EV-25-21
500 _aA thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Engineering in Environmental Engineering and Management
502 _aThesis (M. Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 2025
520 _aMethane (CH₄) emissions from rice cultivation significantly contribute to agricultural greenhouse gas emissions. Conventional estimation practices in developing countries often rely on generalized emission factors recommended by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), due to the lack of sufficient ground-based monitoring and measurement. These estimations may not reflect the specific agricultural practices and environmental conditions of local regions. This study aims to localize methane emission factors for rice cultivation in Ayutthaya, Thailand, using a machine learning-based approach. A Gradient Boosting regression model was developed and trained on a global literature dataset containing known CH₄ emissions and associated agricultural variables. Key features influencing CH₄ emissions; pH, water regime, crop duration, organic amendment, N amount, and soil properties were selected based on feature importance analysis and SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) values. The trained model was then applied to a Thailand-specific secondary dataset to predict methane emission factors. Results show that the predicted average CH₄ emission factor for the Thailand dataset is 0.8518 kg CH₄/ha/day, which is significantly lower than the IPCC Tier 1 default value of 1.30 kg CH₄/ha/day. This suggests that the IPCC default value may substantially overestimate methane emissions in certain local contexts, highlighting the importance of developing localized emission factors for improved regional GHG assessments. This research provides a practical framework for applying machine learning to improve emission factor localization. The findings offer valuable insights for policymakers and researchers in developing tailored mitigation strategies for rice agriculture in Southeast Asia.
650 0 _aRice
_xPlanting
_xEnvironmental aspects
_zThailand
650 0 _aRice
_xPlanting
_xData processing
_zThailand
650 0 _aMachine learning
700 1 _aXue, Wenchao,
_eChairperson
700 1 _aCruz, Simon Guerrero,
_eCo-chairperson
700 0 _aEkbordin Winijkul,
_eExamination Committee
700 1 _aTsusaka, Takuji W.,
_eExamination Committee
710 2 _aAIT Scholarship,
_eScholarship Donor
810 2 _aAsian Institute of Technology.
_tThesis ;
_vno. EV-25-21
856 4 0 _3Full-Text
_uhttp://203.159.5.9/ait-thesis/detail.php?q=B23006
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