Forecasting of power distribution load in Tainan district (Record no. 46462)

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035 ## - SYSTEM CONTROL NUMBER
System control number .b11493033
099 #9 - LOCAL FREE-TEXT CALL NUMBER (OCLC)
Classification number AIT Thesis no.CS-95-12
100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Lee, Yean-shin
245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Forecasting of power distribution load in Tainan district
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC.
Place of publication, distribution, etc. Bangkok :
Name of publisher, distributor, etc. Asian Institute of Technology,
Date of publication, distribution, etc. 1995
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Extent 88 leaves +
Accompanying material 1 online resource
490 1# - SERIES STATEMENT
Series statement Thesis ;
Volume/sequential designation no. CS-95-12
500 ## - GENERAL NOTE
General note A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirement for the degree of Master of Engineering
502 ## - DISSERTATION NOTE
Dissertation note Thesis (M.Eng.) - Asian Institute of Technology, 1995
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc. Although considerable work has been done in the past on the application of some type of systematic approach to electric power forecasting, its application to distribution load forecasting has unfortunately been somewhat neglected, especially the short-term distribution load forecasting for only certain areas like Taiwan Power Company (TPC) Tainan District. Recently years, due to the uprising of environmental protection consciousness, the land acquisition of not only power plants but also secondary substations becomes more difficult than before. Most Districts of TPC will face the embarrassment of power shortage and area rationing of power commodity predictably will be seen more often. In these circumstances, reliable short-term distribution load forecasting tools will enable TPC to plan ahead of time for peak demand and inform their customers as earlier as possible when area rationing is inevitable. Three forecasting approaches namely Neural Network, Box-Jenkins and Winters were investigated through the study cin distribution daily peak load and weekly peak load forecasting for TPC in Tainan District. The results showed that the daily peak load forecasting performance by Box-Jenkins model along with standardization method is the best among the approaches considered. For weekly peak load data the Winters' method gives the best forecasting performance with lead times from one to three weeks. For daily peak load data, the accuracy of forecasting with Box-Jenkins seasonal models is much better than that of non-seasonal models. Moreover, with standardized daily peak load data the forecasting performance is improved significantly. The Backpropagation Networks can not give a good forecasting performance when only time series data are used.
650 10 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element Electric power-plants
General subdivision Taiwan
-- Tainan
-- Load
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Huynh, Ngoc Phien,
Relator term Chairperson
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Do, Ba Khang,
Relator term Examination Committee
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Nagarur, Nagendra N.,
Relator term Examination Committee
710 2# - ADDED ENTRY--CORPORATE NAME
Corporate name or jurisdiction name as entry element R.O.C. Government,
Relator term Scholarship donor
810 2# - SERIES ADDED ENTRY--CORPORATE NAME
Corporate name or jurisdiction name as entry element Asian Institute of Technology.
Title of a work Thesis ;
Volume/sequential designation no. CS-95-12
856 ## - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
Materials specified Full-Text
Uniform Resource Identifier <a href="http://203.159.5.9/ait-thesis/detail.php?q=B14996">http://203.159.5.9/ait-thesis/detail.php?q=B14996</a>
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998 ## - LOCAL CONTROL INFORMATION (RLIN)
Operator's initials, OID (RLIN) 0
Cataloger's initials, CIN (RLIN) 960624
First date, FD (RLIN) m
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945 ## - LOCAL PROCESSING INFORMATION (OCLC)
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945 ## - LOCAL PROCESSING INFORMATION (OCLC)
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945 ## - LOCAL PROCESSING INFORMATION (OCLC)
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945 ## - LOCAL PROCESSING INFORMATION (OCLC)
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942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Koha item type 20-AIT Publication
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Koha item type 40-Archives
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Barcode Barcode : 30050120675847
CREATED CREATED : 1996-05-21
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Holdings
Withdrawn status Lost status Damaged status Not for loan Home library Current library Shelving location Date acquired Cost, normal purchase price Total checkouts Full call number Barcode Date last seen Copy number Price effective from Koha item type
      Available for Loans Asian Institute of Technology Library Asian Institute of Technology Library AIT Publications 18/08/2026 30.00   AIT Thesis no.CS-95-12 30050120675847 18/08/2026 1 18/08/2026 20-AIT Publication
      Available for Loans Asian Institute of Technology Library Asian Institute of Technology Library AIT Publications 18/08/2026 30.00   AIT Thesis no.CS-95-12 30050120675706 18/08/2026 2 18/08/2026 20-AIT Publication
      Available for Loans Asian Institute of Technology Library Asian Institute of Technology Library Archives 18/08/2026     AIT Thesis no.CS-95-12 30050120356299 18/08/2026   18/08/2026 40-Archives
      Available for Loans Asian Institute of Technology Library Asian Institute of Technology Library Archives 18/08/2026 50.00   AIT Thesis no.CS-95-12 30050120914972 18/08/2026 3 18/08/2026 20-AIT Publication
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